MLB  |  Aug 17, 2017
Phillies vs. Giants
Phillies
+107
  at  BETONLINE
in 6h

Dave's Thursday Free Play:

1* on Philadelphia Phillies +107

The Key: Aaron Nola has been one of the best starters in baseball over the past couple months.  He has allowed just 13 earned runs in his past 10 starts, a stretch during which he has limited all 10 opponents to 2 earned runs or fewer.  He is now 9-7 with a 3.02 ERA and 1.15 WHIP on the season.  Jeff Samardzija is 7-12 with a 4.74 ERA in 24 starts this year.  He has consistently been overvalued.  And Samardzija has never beaten the Phillies, going 0-3 with a 10.18 ERA and 1.87 WHIP in 4 lifetime starts against them.  Samardzija is 13-31 (-20.0 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 lifetime.  Take Philadelphia.

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MLB  |  Aug 17, 2017
Rays vs. Blue Jays
Rays
-154
  at  BETONLINE
in 45m

Play - Tampa Bay Rays w/Archer vs Rowley (Game 963). 

Edges - Rays: Archer 8-2 last 10 away team starts during August… Blue Jays: Rowley off first MLB win in debut start vs Pirates last Saturday… With Archer in commanding KW form with 41 Ks and 5 BBs in his last five starts, we recommend a 1* play on Tampa Bay. Thank you and good luck as always.  

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MLB  |  Aug 17, 2017
Yankees vs. Mets
Yankees
-1½ -107
  at  5DIMES
in 3h

#MLB Free Pick from Mike Lundin

The New York Yankees go for Subway Series sweep of the New York Mets Thursday night, and I like the Bronx Bombers in a blowout in tonight's matchup. 

Steven Matz (2-6, 5.54 ERA) will take the ball for the Mets. He's coming off his best outing in a long time when he held the Phillies to a pair of runs in 5 2/3 frames on August 12, but he's still 0-5 with a 9.51 ERA through his last seven starts. The 26 year old southpaw is 0-3 behind a bloated 9.33 ERA in four starts home at Citi Field on the season and 1-1 with a 5.25 ERA in two career starts against the Yankees.

The Yankees turn to Luis Severino (9-5, 3.32 ERA) who was tagged with a career-worst 10 runs (eight earned) in 4 1/3 innings of a 10-5 loss to Boston his last time out. The Yankees are still a solid 6-1 in Severino's last seven starts and he's 4-1 behind a 2.59 ERA in 12 starts on the road this season. 

We can also note that the Mets are 3-14 in their last 17 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15 (Severino's WHIP is an excellent 1.11, the third best mark in the American League).

My free pick is on the New York Yankees -1.5. 

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MLB  |  Aug 17, 2017
Phillies vs. Giants
Phillies
+107
  at  GTBETS
in 6h

This game features the 43-75 Phillies and the 48-74 Giants. Both teams are brutal but the Phillies have a pretty big advantage in this game on the mound and in travel. Giants played in Miami yesterday while the Phillies just finished up being swept by the Dodgers and barely had to travel to play the Giants tonight. Aaron Nola has been one of the best in Baseball since the All-Star break he has only allowed 13 runs in his last 10 starts that's amazing. His ERA is 1.85 in his last 6 starts. We will take any plus money we can get and play on the Phillies here for a rare road win. 15* Phillies ***DON'T MISS OUT ON MY CFL GAME OF THE YEAR TONIGHT OR MY 20* MLB WINNER***

MLB  |  Aug 17, 2017
Cardinals vs. Pirates
Pirates
-135
  at  BETONLINE
in 3h

Free Pick on Pirates -

I like this spot for Pittsburgh at home, as they host the Cardinals in a huge NL Central showdown. Really tough situation for St Louis, who suffered a crushing 4-5 loss to Boston last night. The Cardinals took a 4-2 lead into the bottom of the 9th, before giving up 3 runs. That makes for a difficult trip from Boston to Pittsburgh.  While the Pirates also let one slip away yesterday in Milwaukee, they aren't in as tough a spot getting to play at home.

I also like the pitching matchup in this one for Pittsburgh. St Louis sends out veteran Adam Wainwright, who has a miserable 7.00 ERA and 1.666 WHIP in 11 road starts this season. Pirates counter with Jameson Taillon, who is trending in the right direction, allowing just 2 runs and going into the 6th in each of his last 2 starts, which also saw him rack up 15 strikeouts. Wainwright has a mere 4 strikeouts in his last 3 starts combined. Take Pittsburgh!

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MLB  |  Aug 17, 2017
Yankees vs. Mets
OVER
7 -115
  at  BMAKER
in 3h



8/17 07:10 PM  MLB   (969) NEW YORK YANKEES VS (970) NEW YORK METS.
Take: over the total.
Reason: Your free play for Thursday, August 17, 2017 comes in baseball as the Mets and Yankees duel in the Big Apple. The Yankees are back on track on offense, 4-1 over the total in interleague road games vs. a left-handed starter. They are Top 6 in baseball in runs and on-base percentage. Starter Luis Severino is off a 10-5 loss to Boston allowing 10 runs in 4 innings. The Over is 9-3-2 in the NY Mets last 14 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Starter Steven Matz (2-6, 5.54 ERA) is allowing batters to hit .299 off him. Play the NY Yankees/NY Mets Over the total.


MLB  |  Aug 17, 2017
Yankees vs. Mets
Mets
+177
  at  5DIMES
in 3h

Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach Thursday Evening MLB Free Pick New York Mets Money Line (+) vs New York Yankees @ 7:10 ET - Steven Matz has certainly had some struggles for the Mets this season but he has been showing signs of getting his issues straightened out. He allowed just 2 earned runs in 5 and 2/3 innings in his most recent start. Matz struck out 7 in 5 and 1/3 innings in his prior start. Previous to that outing, he had a respectable start at Colorado where Coors Field is very tough on pitchers. Also Matz held the Yankees to just 1 earned run in 6 innings in his lone home start versus the Yanks in his career. He'll be opposed by Luis Severino tonight and he is off of an awful outing versus Boston that certainly could still have some carry-over to this outing. Severino has been a streaky pitcher this season and when he's on he's really on but when he's off that tends to carry over a 3 or 4 start stretch and that could spell trouble here on the road against a Mets team that is very hungry to avoid a 4-game sweep at the hands of their New York rivals! This total opened up at an 8 and the Yankees are an ugly 8-19 this season in road games with a posted total of 8 or 8.5 runs. As you can see from above, there is substantial home dog value here. Recently there has been an uptick in favorites getting the cash at the betting window but that won't go on forever. Yesterday the favorites went 13-1 and there were a lot of tight wins for the favorites. The tide is going to start to turn and I expect this game Thursday evening to be one of those "tide-turners" with this certainly being a solid value spot for a home underdog. Free Pick on NEW YORK METS. Best of luck, Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach

MLB  |  Aug 17, 2017
Yankees vs. Mets
OVER
7 -115
  at  BMAKER
in 3h

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Yankees/Mets OVER 7

This is a very low total for a Yankees games.  They can cover this total on their own today and I wouldn't be surprised.  This total can't be this low with Steven Matz pitching today.  He is 2-6 with a 5.54 ERA and 1.47 WHIP in 12 starts this season, including 0-3 with a 9.33 ERA and 1.91 WHIP in four homes starts.  I know Luis Severino is having a fine season, but he won't completely shut down the Mets, either.  And Severino gave up 10 runs in 4 1/3 innings in his last start against Boston and may be showing signs of wearing down in really his first full season.  The Mets are 32-10 OVER vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season.  The Mets are 40-19 OVER when the total is 7 to 8.5 this season.  The OVER is 4-0 in Severino's last four starts.

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MLB  |  Aug 17, 2017
Rays vs. Blue Jays
Blue Jays
+1½ -117
  at  BMAKER
in 45m

Free MLB Pick: Play on the Blue Jays +1.5 runs

The Toronto Blue Jays are 57-62 on the season and last in the AL East 11 games behind Boston. Toronto is 6-4 over their last ten games and lost to the Rays 6-4 on Tuesday after beating them in game one of this series. Toronto is 20-29 in divisional games and carries a 25-19 daytime record. The Blue Jays are 32-29 on their home field.  Chris Rowley will take the mound for the Blue Jays. Rowley is 1-0 on the season with 5.1 innings pitched in his debut. Rowley carries a 1.69 ERA with 3 strikeouts and on walks. Rowley pitched 5.1 innings in his first start allowing one earned run on five hits.