NCAA-B  |  Feb 06, 2016
Boston College vs. Louisville
Boston College
+21-105
  at  BMAKER
in 3h

10* FREE NCAAB PICK (Boston College +21) 

As bad as Boston College is, the value is with the Eagles on the road catching 21-points against a Louisville team that just got crushing news that they wouldn't be eligible to play in the postseason. That comes on the heels of their biggest win this season in a 71-65 victory at home against No. 2 ranked North Carolina. I look for the Cardinals to have a horrible time getting emotionally up for this game, especially given how bad Boston College is. The Eagles on the other hand are going to come out swinging against a highly ranked team, hoping they can take advantage of the opportunity and pull off the massive upset to end a 9-game losing streak. Regardless of how bad a situation this is, the public will want nothing to do with the Eagles, thus creating amazing value. Adding to this is the fact that Louisville is just 4-9-1 ATS in their last 15 home games against a team with a losing road record and 1-7 ATS in their last 8 off a straight up win. Give me Boston College +21! 

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NCAA-B  |  Feb 06, 2016
Kansas vs. TCU
TCU
+12½-110
  at  5DIMES
in 3h

Free Pick on TCU + 

This is an ideal situation to back the Horned Frogs at home against the Jayhawks. Kansas comes into this game off back-to-back wins and covers against Kentucky and Kansas State at home, but that has them overvalued. The Jayhawks were extremely fortunate to even force overtime against the Wildcats and didn't play near as well as the final score would indicate against in-state rival Kansas State. 

This is not a game Kansas is going to be all that concerned about, as TCU is considered a Big 12 bottom feeder. That's going to make it extremely hard on the Jayhawks to not look ahead to Tuesday's huge home showdown against West Virginia, who they currently sit tied with on top the Big 12 standings at 7-2. 

What I like here is the Horned Frogs have been competitive at home, where they are 8-5 on the season. In their last home game, TCU knocked off Tennessee. They beat Texas at home earlier this season and have lost just one conference game at home by more than the number here and that was a 13-point loss to Iowa State, who couldn't afford to look past the Horned Frogs after a disappointing 3-2 start to conference play. 

The Jayhawks are just 2-12 ATS in their last 14 road games after winning 12 or more of their previous 15 games and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 road games after a conference win by 10 or more points. The Horned Frogs are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 off a game where 155 or more combined points were scored and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 off a SU loss of more than 20 points. Take TCU!

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NCAA-B  |  Feb 06, 2016
Colorado vs. Oregon State
Colorado
+2½-110
  at  5DIMES
in 12h

We like this spot for a solid Colorado team to come in and pinch the win here against the Beavers. The fact that we’re getting a free basket is even better. Oregon State pulled off a big home win against a good Utah side, but watching that game the Utes lost it more so than Oregon State winning it, after being up 8 points very late in the game. Coming from behind in a big upset win leaves the Beavers in a classic let down situation here. Prior to that win, the Beavers were playing poorly.

Colorado has had a nice season so far and although they got blown out last start against the Ducks, most sides have and they had been playing well prior to that game, with 3 straight wins over solid teams in California and Stanford. The Buffaloes are one of the better shooting sides in College hoops, especially from behind the arc where they are 12th in 3 point FG%. Colorado also rebound the ball well on the road (ranked 41st) while the Beavers are poor at keeping visiting teams off the glass (ranked 283rd). These two sides played 3 weeks ago in Colorado for a 17 point Buffalo blow out.

Oregon State is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games. Oregon State is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Colorado.

For our free pick, take the Buffaloes +2.5 points here.

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NCAA-B  |  Feb 06, 2016
Kansas vs. TCU
TCU
+12½-110
  at  BETONLINE
in 3h

I'm recommending a play on TCU plus the points on Saturday.  The Horned Frogs have given Kansas some battles of late.  None of the last four meetings (all Kansas wins) have been decided by more than nine points and the average margin of Jayhawk victory was just 6 ppg.  TCU is catching Kansas between a win over in-state rival Kansas State and with a revenge game up next against West Virginia.  Bill Self's squad has lost three straight Big-12 road games, both SU & ATS, and they're just 3-6 in their last nine ATS, overall.  Malique Trent is playing healthy basketball again and he is the team's best "disher" and also their leading scorer.  When Trent is healthy, TCU has six players averaging over 8 ppg.  The Horned Frogs will look to slow the tempo a bit and we believe they'll accomplish the goal of keeping the game closer to their desired pace.  TCU has covered four straight in this series, while Kansas is on a 0-6 ATS slide on the road if they're off a double digit conference win.  I'm recommending a play on TCU on Saturday.  Thanks & GL!  Scott Spreitzer.

NCAA-B  |  Feb 06, 2016
Old Dominion vs. Charlotte
Old Dominion
-3½-110
  at  BETONLINE
in 10h

FREE PLAY ON ODU   

I like Old Dominion to. Win and at Charlotte. ODU won two road games last week and play better defense led by Trey Freeman.

NCAA-B  |  Feb 06, 2016
Purdue vs. Maryland
Maryland
-4-105
  at  BMAKER
in 7h

Jack's Free Pick Saturday: Maryland -4

The Maryland Terrapins host the Purdue Boilermakers in a key Big Ten battle Saturday.  While oddsmakers expect a close game with Maryland only favored by 4, I see it playing out much differently.

Maryland is right up there with Michigan State, Iowa and Indiana as the four best teams in the Big Ten.  While the Purdue Boilermakers are a solid team, they are in the next tier down among the 5-8 best teams in the conference.

Purdue has not fared great on the road recently.  It has lost to Illinois by 14, to Iowa by 12, and barely beat Minnesota by 4 as 14-point favorites in three of its last four road games.  Now it must face a Maryland team that is a perfect 12-0 at home this season and outscoring opponents by 17.7 points per game in the process.

Purdue is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 road games after four straight games where it outrebounded its opponent by 6 or more boards.  Maryland is 17-5 ATS in its last 22 home games following three straight conference wins.  The Terrapins are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 Big Ten games.  Bet Maryland Saturday.

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NCAA-B  |  Feb 06, 2016
Villanova vs. Providence
Providence
+5-106
  at  PINNACLE
in 6h

Play - Providence.  

Edges - Friars: 8-3 ATS last eleven as hem dogs, including 4-0 ATS conference home dogs with 3 or more days of rest this season. Wildcats: 7-14 SUATS last twenty-one visits on this court. With the Friars 3-0 SUATS at home off a previous home loss, we recommend a 1* play on Providence.  Thank you and good luck as always.

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NCAA-B  |  Feb 06, 2016
Davidson vs. Duquesne
Duquesne
-2-105
  at  BMAKER
in 4h

Dave's Saturday Free Play:

1* on Duquesne -2

The Key: This game is a mismatch with the 15-7 Duquesne Dukes up against the 12-8 Davidson Wildcats.  The Dukes are playing too well right now to only be 2-point home favorites.  They are 5-1 SU & 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall with their only loss coming on the road to red-hot WVU.  They have won by 10 over Saint Louis, by 7 over St. Bonaventure and by 17 over La Salle at home, while also crushing George Mason by 11 and Saint Louis by 11 on the road during this stretch.  Duquesne will also be out for revenge from a 66-77 loss at Davidson in their 1st meeting this season.  The Wildcats have lost 4 of their last 6 coming in and are ripe for the picking.  The Wildcats are 2-12 ATS in their last 14 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.  The Dukes are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.  Duquesne is 9-1 at home this season, while Davidson is 2-7 on the road.  Take Duquesne.

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