Stephen Nover Stephen Nover
I have had only two losing season in pro football in my handicapping career. I have the best sources in the business thanks to more than 25 years as a sportswriter, handicapper and analyst.
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Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Apr 26, 2017
Nationals vs Rockies
UNDER 11½ -120 Lost
Play Type: Top Premium
It's easy to think a lot of runs are going to be scored here after the Nationals' 15-12 win Tuesday. Certainly the oddsmaker does setting such a high total.  I understand this game is at Coors Field and the Rockies are swinging hot bats. Trea Turner is back for Washington making the Nationals' lineup more dangerous.  But it takes a lot to go over this high of a total - and I don't see it happening here.  Let's start with the starters: Tanner Roark versus Tyler Chatwood. Neither are elite pitchers. Both, however, are underrated. Roarke especially has proven solid the past couple of seasons. The under has cashed only twice in Roark's past 12 starts. The Rockies haven't faced Roark in two years having just seen him for one inning of relief in 2015. Chatwood has made only one start against the Nationals and that was back in 2013. So the hitters aren't going to be familar with the two starting pitchers.   The Rockies' bullpen entered this series with the lowest ERA in the majors. Neither closer Greg Holland, nor any of Colorado's two best set-up relievers, pitched last night.  There is a weather factor, too, that favors an under. The forecast is for temperatures in the mid-to-low 50's, which feels colder in Denver, and for the wind to be blowing in at 8-to-10 mph.  The slated home plate umpire is Marty Foster, who has an under bias. Since 2012, the under has cashed 56 percent of the time Foster has been behind the plate. 
Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Apr 26, 2017
Dodgers vs Giants
+107 at BMaker
Play Type: Premium
The Giants are banged-up, but the pitching matchup clearly is their favor making them worthy of being a home 'dog. Dodgers starter Alex Wood is a borderline rotation starter. He didn't look good in his last start giving up four runs and seven hits while failing to finish the fifth inning this past Friday at Arizona. Lifetime against the Giants, Wood is 0-2 with a 6.89 ERA. LA is 0-5 in Wood's last five starts.  By contrast, Johnny Cueto is an elite pitcher. He has a career 2.74 ERA versus the Dodgers in 13 starts, including going 3-1 with a 2.67 ERA against them last season. Cueto is on his normal four days rest. The Giants are 17-4 the past 21 times Cueto has pitched on four days rest. 
Matchup Selection W/L
NHL  |  Apr 26, 2017
Oilers vs Ducks
-128 at betonline
Play Type: Premium
The Ducks are peaking and a bad matchup for the Oilers. Edmoton was able to take advantage of San Jose being the oldest team in the league in winning its first-round Stanley Cup matchup. The Sharks' style was more free-wheeling than physical. That's not the case with Anaheim - and that's to Edmonton's disadvantage. I see the Oilers having trouble in dealing with the Ducks' more methodical, physical style. Anaheim also has several players who can contain and get under the skin of Connor McDavid and the Oilers' other young offensive stars. Playing on the road only makes this problem worse for the Oilers. The Ducks are extremely tough at home winning 70 percent of their past 63 home games. They've also defeated the Oilers in nine of the last 11 games at home.  Anaheim had an easier first-round series than Edmonton. The Ducks swept Calgary in four games never really being seriously challenged. The Ducks won the season series from the Oilers, too.  As an added plus, the Ducks are expected to get back defenseman Cam Fowler from a knee injury. He had missed the Ducks' past two games. 
Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Apr 26, 2017
Bulls vs Celtics
+8 -110 at BMaker
Play Type: Top Premium
I'm not expecting Rajon Rondo to play in this Game 5. But I still like the Bulls to cover the number. Emotions and tensions have been raised in this series now that it's down to a two-out-of-three. Boston lacks the playoff experience and postseason record to close out teams let alone win by decent-sized margins such as this point spead. The Celtics are 2-5 SU and ATS in the playoffs under Brad Stevens. Their two victories occurred in overtime and by eight points, both against Atlanta.  The Bulls, led by Jimmy Butler and Dwayne Wade, are 2-0 at TD Garden in the series. Boston has covered just one of its last nine home games. The Bulls, by contrast, have played well on the road covering eight of their last 10 away contests, including going 7-0 ATS the last seven times facing foes with a winning home mark.  Chicago also is 7-1 ATS in its next game following a loss where the Celtics are 8-18 ATS after winning in their previous game.  Stevens adjusted well following the Bulls winning the first two games of the series. His major change was going with a smaller lineup inserting Gerald Green into the starting five. The Celtics held the Bulls to a combined 40.1 percent shooting from the floor in evening the series by winning the last two games in Chicago.  The Bulls now have had two games to get used to Boston's new lineup and not having Rondo to run their offense. The Bulls aren't a great shooting team, but they still shot 44.4 percent from the floor during the season. 
Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Apr 27, 2017
Blue Jays vs Cardinals
OVER 8 -115 Won
Play Type: Premium
This is the first game of a doubleheader after Wednesday's game was rained out. Toronto edged St. Louis, 6-5, on Tuesday.  I can see a combined 11 runs coming again especially with Matt Latos one of the scheduled pitchers for this day game. Latos has a 5.76 career ERA versus St. Louis - and that's before he became a washed-up journeyman expected to depart from Toronto's startihng rotation following this game with the imminent returns of J.A. Happ and Aaron Sanchez.  Latos made his season debut in his last outing this past Friday and gave up four runs in five-plus innings. This was against the Angels at pitcher-friendly Angels Stadium. Latos pitched even worse than his box score getting a couple of long ball outs that could have been homers at other ballparks.   The Cardinals have got their bats going averaging 5.2 runs during their last five games. The Blue Jays broke out of their scoring slump averaging five runs during their last five games. They draw Carlos Martinez in this matchup. Martinez hasn't been sharp since opening day having had three consecutive disappointing starts.  Martinez couldn't reach the seventh inning during any of his last three starts. During this three-game span, he's allowed 17 hits and 11 walks in 15 1/3 innings. Martinez has been merely average at home career-wise, too, with a 15-14 record and 3.77 ERA. The Cardinals' bullpen ranks 25th in ERA and St. Louis leads the league in errors.  

Sports gaming writer for Las Vegas Review-Journal 1984-1997. Professional handicapper since 1999. Author of three books - Las Vegas Sportsbeat, Sportsgaming Beat, Winning Fantasy Football. Taught sports betting at UNLV. Former co-host of the Sunday Night Stardust Line sports gaming radio show. Was part-time oddsmaker and analyst for Roxy Roxborough. Recognized NFL expert with 20 of 22 winning seasons.