Stephen Nover Stephen Nover
I have had only two losing season in pro football in my handicapping career. I have the best sources in the business thanks to more than 25 years as a sportswriter, handicapper and analyst.
Stephen Nover's Total of the Month

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Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Apr 23, 2014
Charlotte Bobcats vs. Miami Heat
Miami Heat
Play Type: Top Premium

Miami owns Charlotte beating the Bobcats 17 consecutive times. The Heat are going to beat the Bobcats again today.  The question is by how many. Indications are it will be by more than 10 points. 

The Bobcats achieved their goal of making the playoffs. Job well done there. But they know they have no shot against the two-time defending champions after losing Game 1 and knowing their best player, big man Al Jefferson, is far from 100 percent. 

Jefferson was hurt during the first quarter of Game 1. He has been diagnosed with a plantar fascia strain in his left foot. Jefferson managed to gut out the rest of the game after receiving not one but two injections. Then he left the arena in a walking boot. It's an injury that has to be taken seriously. The Bobcats have to consider sitting out their franchise player. 

The Heat are looking at the big picture. They don't want to screw around with even one loss in this first-round series. Miami is a veteran team helped by having two days off following Game 1. 

The Bobcats don't have the experience and front line talent to hang with Miami on the road. Charlotte has failed to cover 12 of the past 17 times on the road when taking on a foe with a winning home mark.  


Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Apr 23, 2014
Texas Rangers vs. Oakland A's
7½ un-120
  at  BOVADA
Play Type: Top Premium

An early afternoon getaway game in Oakland isn't favorable to hitters, especially when the weather forecast is calling for the wind to be blowing in.

Both teams have hot pitchers going (Martin Perez and Sonny Gray) and the Rangers are missing a number of key hitters, including Adrian Beltre and possibly his hot-hitting replacement, Kevin Kouzmanoff, and Shin-Soo Choo, who missed yesterday's game with an ankle injury. Kouzmanoff left yesterday's game in the fourth inning due to back tightness.

Martin Pererz's improved sinkerball has resulted in a 13 percent increase in ground ball outs this season. So it's not a fluke Perez, a lefty, is off to a hot beginning with a 3-0 mark and 1.86 ERA. The Rangers don't hit lefties especially well either and have seen little of Perez.

The Rangers have yet to face Gray, which gives him an advantage the first couple of times through the lineup. Gray is 7-1 with a 2.08 ERA in his last 10 starts. He has a 1.80 ERA this season only once giving up more than one earned run. 


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Sports gaming writer for Las Vegas Review-Journal 1984-1997. Professional handicapper since 1999. Author of three books - Las Vegas Sportsbeat, Sportsgaming Beat, Winning Fantasy Football. Taught sports betting at UNLV. Former co-host of the Sunday Night Stardust Line sports gaming radio show. Was part-time oddsmaker and analyst for Roxy Roxborough.