Stephen Nover Stephen Nover

I have had only two losing season in pro football in my handicapping career. I have the best sources in the business thanks to more than 25 years as a sportswriter, handicapper and analyst.

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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  May 23, 2016
Rays vs Marlins
Marlins
-127 at pinnacle
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

This matchup features a pair of lefty starters, Matt Moore versus Wei-Yin Chen. I like Chen, who is in much better form than Moore.
Chen has given up three or fewer runs in six of his last seven starts. 
Moore started the season hot, but has been hit hard lately. His ERA for his last three starts is 8.36. The Rays have dropped seven of Moore's last nine road starts. The Marlins also are 5-1 the last six times facing a southpaw.
Tampa Bay is minus a pair of highly underrated players in injured Logan Forsythe and Kevin Kiermaeir. 

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  May 23, 2016
Angels vs Rangers
Rangers
-105 at BMaker
Lost
$105.0
Play Type: Premium

Texas is playing well winning its last three games. The Rangers also are a little under-the-radar as far as home dominance having gone 41-19 (68%) in their last 60 games in Arlington. 
Nick Tropeano is overrated not nearly as good as his 3.30 ERA. He doesn't figure to go deep into the game either. Only once this season has he gone past the sixth inning. He's 0-2 lifetime in two starts against the Rangers with a 5.68 ERA. 
Lefty Derek Holland is back on track following his last start. He's 3-0 with a 2.49 ERA in four starts against the Angels during the past two seasons. Texas is 8-2 in Holland's last 10 home starts versus sub .500 opponents. The Angels also have dropped four of their last five when facing a lefty starter. 

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  May 23, 2016
Cavs vs Raptors
Cavs
-6 +100 at pinnacle
Lost
$100.0
Play Type: Top Premium

OK, the Raptors got their measure of respect beating Cleveland, 99-84, at home in Game 3 of this Eastern Conference Final series this past Saturday. 
There is no way a game like that happens to Cleveland in Game 4. I fully expect to see the Cavaliers play their "A" game. Even their "B" game should be enough to cover this number. 
Toronto had its moment. Now things revert back. The Cavaliers buried the Raptors by 31 and 19 points, respectively, during the first two games of this series. The Cavaliers are - and always will be - in control of this series. They totally outclass the Raptors, who have gone as far as they can go. 
LeBron James, Kyrie Irving and Co. buried the Pistons and Hawks. The Raptors are next in line. 
Toronto has failed to cover six of the past seven times following a victory. The Raptors also are 4-10 ATS versus foes with a winning record. 

PICKS IN PROGRESS
Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  May 24, 2016
Warriors vs Thunder
UNDER 222 -110
Play Type: Top Premium

Golden State and Oklahoma City are the two highest scoring teams in the NBA. But to reach this high of a total both have to be on their games. That hasn't happened yet in this Western Conference Finals. Through the first three games of the series, the losing team has averaged 99.3 points. 
Oklahoma City is coming off a 133-105 burial of the Warriors. Now it's up to the Warriors to make the proper adjustments. I see Steve Kerr doing that by limiting the Thunder in transition. Perhaps no player is more lethal on the fast break than Russell Westbrook. The Warriors have the flexibility and talent to also be effective in a half court game. That means a slower tempo. 
I fully anticipate - and expect - an intense, gut-check defensive effort from the Warriors. The under has cashed 12 of the last 17 times the Warriors gave up triple digits in their last game and has cashed six of the past seven times Golden State has surrendered 125 points or more in its previous game.

SERVICE BIO

Sports gaming writer for Las Vegas Review-Journal 1984-1997. Professional handicapper since 1999. Author of three books - Las Vegas Sportsbeat, Sportsgaming Beat, Winning Fantasy Football. Taught sports betting at UNLV. Former co-host of the Sunday Night Stardust Line sports gaming radio show. Was part-time oddsmaker and analyst for Roxy Roxborough. Recognized NFL expert with 18 of 20 winning seasons.