Stephen Nover Stephen Nover

I have had only two losing season in pro football in my handicapping career. I have the best sources in the business thanks to more than 25 years as a sportswriter, handicapper and analyst.

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Everybody has their different styles. My style is studying each game closely. I handicap the games 10 days in advance, making detailed notes that I check to update. Then when the lines come out, I'm ready to pick and choose my spots.

I'm not a shot-gunner. I'll pick my spots. This fits my comfort zone and bankroll. I incorporate matchup analysis, statistics, history but most of all situational aspects into my NBA 'capping. That's why handicapping the games so far in advance is crucial for me. I don't want to miss any potential situational edge.

This system has worked out well for me. I don't beat the NBA every year. But I've had far more winning seasons than losing ones. My long-term record is 209-165-10 on my last 384 games for 56 percent. My short term record is 11-6-1 on my last 18 plays, which all were in the playoffs and included finishing 5-0.

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Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Feb 27, 2015
Milwaukee Bucks vs. Los Angeles Lakers
Milwaukee Bucks
  at  5DIMES
in 3h

Break up the Lakers! LA actually has won two in a row, which is going against its plan to keep losing to improve its lottery odds. Worry not Lakers management. Your team's mini-streak is about to end with a visit from the Bucks.
The Bucks just aren't about trying to make the playoffs under Jason Kidd. They are going for playoff seeding trailing the Wizards for the No. 5 spot in the East by just one-half game.
Milwaukee went into a little tail spin dropping games to Chicago and Atlanta as it waited for its new point guard, Michael Carter-Williams, to get over his foot injury. Carter-Williams got the rust off making his Milwaukee debut a good one  with seven points and eight assists in 17:31 minutes of action two nights ago during a 104-88 home win against the 76ers. That was Milwaukee's 10th win in its last 13 games.
The Bucks' strength are their bench, chemistry and solid coaching by Kidd. The Bucks hold all those edges against the Lakers plus a rare advantage in a comparison of starting lineups.
The Lakers are off an overtime home win against the Celtics and a road victory against the inconsistent Jazz this past Wednesday. Milwaukee is a step above those teams. Before beating those teams, the Lakers had dropped 16 of 17.
The Bucks are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 away matchups. They are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 road games versus the Lakers. The Bucks have won six of the past seven in the series, including the last four. (Editor's note: Stephen Nover is red-hot cashing 23 of his last 33 NBA plays for 69 percent. The long-time wise guy is happy to offer this free selection today in addition to his premium plays.)


Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Feb 26, 2015
Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Phoenix Suns
Oklahoma City Thunder
  at  5DIMES
Play Type: Top Premium

The Suns are not a playoff team - and they know it. Their frontcourt is nothing special and their backcourt isn't deep anymore.
Until they beat hopeless Denver last night, the Suns were 1-8 in their last nine games, losing five in a row. They are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 Western Conference matchups.
The Suns lose part of their home-court edge having to play last night in Denver while the Thunder was idle. The Suns come home tired. Oklahoma City has covered in six of its last eight visits to the desert.
The Thunder have covered in their last seven games. They are 4-0 since the All-Star break beating market expectations by 30 points during this span.
No player has had a better February than Russell Westbrook. Serge Ibaka is playing at a high level now, too, and can help Oklahoma City's front line take advantage of the Suns' mediocre inside players. The Suns give up the third-most points in the NBA, have the sixth-lowest rebounding percentage in the league and are undergoing trade-transition trouble with nearly one-third of their roster revamped.

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Feb 26, 2015
Oregon State vs. Stanford
Play Type: Top Premium

The road and a weak bench are a combination that will sink the Beavers here. Aside from beating Washington State in early January, Oregon State hasn't won a Pac-12 road game going 1-6. The Beavers have lost their last four away matchups by a combined 70 points!
The Beavers' weak bench figures to get exposed by Stanford, a veteran squad that also can take advantage of the Beavers being without suspended 6-foot-7 forward Victor Robbins.
Oregon State has failed to cover in seven of its last nine games.  

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Feb 26, 2015
Golden State Warriors vs. Cleveland Cavaliers
Cleveland Cavaliers
  at  5DIMES
Play Type: Top Premium

The timing is right to ride the red-hot Cavaliers and fade the Warriors in this matchup. Cleveland is 17-2 in its last 19 games and has won 10 in a row at home. They catch the Warriors in the middle of a six-game road swing and not playing up to their earlier high standards. In their last two games, the Warriors allowed the Pacers to shoot better than 48 percent from the floor and then allowed the Wizards to make 53.2 percent of their field goals this past Tuesday.
Going back even further the Warriors only beat the 76ers by five points, Timberwolves by three and struggling Spurs by 11. Maybe in the end the Warriors prove to be the best team, but right now they are in a down cycle.
The Cavaliers are going to be highly motivated for this matchup especially with a revenge factor and being on the road during four of their next five games. Cleveland was missing LeBron James when it lost to Golden State last month and entered that matchup on a three-game losing streak.
The key to beating the Warriors is limiting their fast breaks and defending well against the 3-pointer. The Cavaliers allow less than 10 fast break points at home, which leads the league. The Cavaliers have held their last three opponents to 22 percent from 3-point range.


Sports gaming writer for Las Vegas Review-Journal 1984-1997. Professional handicapper since 1999. Author of three books - Las Vegas Sportsbeat, Sportsgaming Beat, Winning Fantasy Football. Taught sports betting at UNLV. Former co-host of the Sunday Night Stardust Line sports gaming radio show. Was part-time oddsmaker and analyst for Roxy Roxborough. Recognized NFL expert with 18 of 20 winning seasons.