Stephen Nover Stephen Nover
I have had only two losing season in pro football in my handicapping career. I have the best sources in the business thanks to more than 25 years as a sportswriter, handicapper and analyst.
Stephen Nover's MLB Chalk Play of the Month

Stephen Nover has cashed seven of his last eight baseball games in the pick to favorite range and has found his strongest chalk play of May on today's full card. The pitching matchup is mispriced and there's a pertinent 91 percent angle helping make this the strongest favorite of the month. Read and profit big!

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Stephen Nover's Playoff Game of the Year

Stephen Nover has dominated the NBA going 90-49-1 on his last 140 plays for 65 percent! Stephen is at his absolute finest on his biggest plays, too, winning his May Game of the Month with the Wizards against the Hawks on May 13 - an 8-point underdog that covered by seven points - and easily cashed his Playoff Total of the Year on the under in the Cavaliers-Hawks May 22 game - which went under by 21 1/2 points! Now he's found his Playoff Game of the Year in Game 1 of the NBA Finals. There's a clear right side here and Stephen has it. Don't guess, or go with second-hand information. Lock in now. Ride Stephen's expertise and proven high winning percentages. Hold a winning hand.

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Everybody has their different styles. My style is studying each game closely. I handicap the games 10 days in advance, making detailed notes that I check to update. Then when the lines come out, I'm ready to pick and choose my spots.

I'm not a shot-gunner. I'll pick my spots. This fits my comfort zone and bankroll. I incorporate matchup analysis, statistics, history but most of all situational aspects into my NBA 'capping. That's why handicapping the games so far in advance is crucial for me. I don't want to miss any potential situational edge.

This system has worked out well for me. I don't beat the NBA every year. But I've had far more winning seasons than losing ones. My long-term record is 209-165-10 on my last 384 games for 56 percent. My short term record is 11-6-1 on my last 18 plays, which all were in the playoffs and included finishing 5-0.

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FREE PICKS
Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  May 29, 2015
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twins
Minnesota Twins
-112
  at  5DIMES
in 10h

Perhaps the most shocking development of the baseball season is the Astros owning the best record in the American League at 30-18.
But right up there in the surprise department are the Twins. They are tied with the Royals for the second-best record in the AL.
Minnesota has achieved this by owning the best home record in the league and being a major league-best 15-5 versus left-handed starters. Both of those factors are at work in this matchup.
The Twins draw southpaw Mark Buehrle and a Blue Jays squad that is 1-7 in its last eight road games, including dropping their last five. Toronto also has lost seven of the past eight times Buehrle has started on the road against an opponent with a winning mark.
The 36-year-old Buehrle has a 5.13 ERA. Hitters are batting .312 against him. The Twins are averaging five runs per game this month.
Minnesota is on a five-game win streak and has won seven of its last eight. The Twins have won 12 of their past 14 games at Target Field and 19 of their last 26 there.
A key here is can Twins starter Trevor May be trusted? He has a 3.99 home ERA compared to 6.91 on the road. May hasn't allowed more than three earned runs in five of his last six starts. The right-hander has a 12-to-0 strikeout-to-walk ratio during his past two starts. (Editor's note: Stephen Nover has his Chalk Play of the Month going today, too. Stephen is 7-1 on his last eight baseball plays where the line is pick or higher. Stephen also is 90-49-1 on his last 140 NBA plays and has his Playoff Game of the Year going in Game 1 of the Cavaliers-Warriors matchup.)




YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  May 28, 2015
New York Yankees vs Oakland A's
Total
8 un-125 at BMaker
Lost
$125.0
Play Type: Top Premium

On paper, a pitching matchup of CC Sabathia versus Kendall Graveman doesn't inspire confidence for an under. But there is more than meets the numbers here with these two starters.
Sabathia is off his worst performance of the year going just 2 1/3 innings this past Saturday in a 15-4 loss to Texas. The prideful veteran will look to bounce back strong. Sabathia has pitched better than his record. He has a respectable 3.48 road ERA in six away starts and a 3.22 ERA versus the A's since joining the Yankees in 2009.
The under has cashed in five of Sabathia's last six road outings. The hefty lefty is backed by one of the best bullpens in baseball. The A's have an OPS of just .576 against southpaws.
O.co Coliseum is a pitcher's park and the A's are averaging only 2.7 runs during their last dozen games.
Graveman pitched terrible early in the season, but looks straightened out after giving up three hits with six strikeouts in six scoreless innings during his last start, a 5-0 win against the Rays this past Saturday. The Yankees have the disadvantage of never having faced Graveman.
Graveman and the A's also have the advantage of being more rested as the Yankees had to fly cross-country after winning at home on Wednesday. So this isn't a good spot for the Yankee hitters.

SERVICE BIO

Sports gaming writer for Las Vegas Review-Journal 1984-1997. Professional handicapper since 1999. Author of three books - Las Vegas Sportsbeat, Sportsgaming Beat, Winning Fantasy Football. Taught sports betting at UNLV. Former co-host of the Sunday Night Stardust Line sports gaming radio show. Was part-time oddsmaker and analyst for Roxy Roxborough. Recognized NFL expert with 18 of 20 winning seasons.