Stephen Nover Stephen Nover

I have had only two losing season in pro football in my handicapping career. I have the best sources in the business thanks to more than 25 years as a sportswriter, handicapper and analyst.

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NCAA-F SUBSCRIPTIONS
One day NCAA-F of Stephen Nover

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College Football Season Subscription of Stephen Nover

College presents opportunities that the NFL doesn't where sometimes you can actually find line value.

I've beaten the colleges the past two years averaging 57.5 percent while hitting 64 percent in the bowls by combining many handicapping factors such as matchup analysis, statistics, history, weather and situational elements. Information is the key because there are just so many teams and conferences on the betting board now.

I don't rule out any game or conference. It's a task to find the time to adequately handicap each game. So I'm fortunate that I have many sources to rely on. Many stem from having been a sportswriter/sports editor for daily newspapers in the Midwest, South and West for more than 20 years and having been the sports gaming writer for the Las Vegas Review-Journal for 13 years while also having covered the UNLV football team as the team beat writer for several years.

I have the knowledge, experience and resources necessary to win. I've won the past two years and I expect to turn a tidy profit again this season.

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NCAA-B SUBSCRIPTIONS
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BASKETBALL [NBA+NCAAB] SUBSCRIPTIONS
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NBA SUBSCRIPTIONS
NBA Season Subscription of Stephen Nover

Everybody has their different styles. My style is studying each game closely. I handicap the games 10 days in advance, making detailed notes that I check to update. Then when the lines come out, I'm ready to pick and choose my spots.

I'm not a shot-gunner. I'll pick my spots. This fits my comfort zone and bankroll. I incorporate matchup analysis, statistics, history but most of all situational aspects into my NBA 'capping. That's why handicapping the games so far in advance is crucial for me. I don't want to miss any potential situational edge.

This system has worked out well for me. I don't beat the NBA every year. But I've had far more winning seasons than losing ones. My long-term record is 209-165-10 on my last 384 games for 56 percent. My short term record is 11-6-1 on my last 18 plays, which all were in the playoffs and included finishing 5-0.

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FOOTBALL [NFL+NCAAF] SUBSCRIPTIONS
NFL & CFB Season Pass of Stephen Nover
Lock into a top season value by getting all of Vegas wiseguy Stephen Nover's NFL and college football. Stephen is the premier NFL 'capper finishing No. 1 with a 48-21-5 (69 percent record). It was Stephen's 18th winning NFL season in the last 19 years. Stephen cashed a documented 61 percent of his college football plays two years ago and enters this season on an 8-1 college streak.

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NFL SUBSCRIPTIONS
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FULL Season NFL Subscription

Stephen Nover has owned the NFL turning a profit in 18 of the last 20 NFL seasons. Stephen even taught a football handicapping class at UNLV. The long-time pro won 69 percent of his NFL plays (48-21-5) in 2012, including going a perfect 8-0 in the playoffs. Stephen is a multiple Rotisserie league football champion and was an award-winning sportswriter for the Las Vegas Review-Journal for 13 years. He also worked for the legendary linesmaker Roxy Roxbury, who was the top oddsmaker in North America before retiring. Don't miss out. Lock in now and get all of Stephen's plays at a value price.

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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Oct 29, 2014
Washington Wizards vs. Miami Heat
Miami Heat
-4-115
  at  BMAKER
Won
$100
Play Type: Free

It's the opening game of the season and also statement time for Miami. A healthy Dwayne Wade and Chris Bosh want to prove to their main division rival - the Wizards - that the Heat still are good and worthy of respect despite the departure of LeBron James.

This is their opportunity being at home and catching the Wizards way short-handed.

Washington is without two starters, Nene and Bradley Beal, and a number of reserves. Nene is suspended while Beal is recovering from a broken wrist. The Wizards aren't that good minus the underrated Beal.

Also out for Washington are Martell Webster, DeJuan Blair, Daniel Orton and Xavier Silas. Webster and Blair are key role players. Webster is recovering from back surgery while Blair is suspended as is Orton and Silas. The Wizards may also be missing banged-up Glen Rice Jr. (ankle) and Kris Humphries (hand).

Journeyman guard Garrett Temple, a player who was available in the last round of an 18-round, 20-team NBA experts fantasy basketball draft I participated in, could actually draw big minutes in this matchup.

The Heat have a chip on their shoulders after hearing all off-season how bad they are going to be and how good the Cavaliers, Bulls and Wizards are going to be and how the Wizards are now the team to beat in their division. The prideful Heat will be highly motivated to perform well especially during the early stages of the post-LeBron era.

The Heat did add Luol Deng. Deng, of course, is no LeBron James. But he isn't some stiff either. He's a good two-way player who has a history of slowing down Paul Pierce.

The Wizards last won a season-opener back in 2009. Their time will come. Just not in this matchup.

(Editor's note: Stephen Nover has one of his strongest Wednesdays going of the entire season with his NBA Game of the Month, NBA Wednesday Wipeout and his Game 7 World Series totals play. The long-time pro has cashed his last six NBA plays and has won all of his World Series over/under plays. These plays can be purchased individually, or at a special discounted package price.)

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Oct 29, 2014
Milwaukee Bucks vs. Charlotte Hornets
Milwaukee Bucks
+8½-110
  at  BMAKER
Won
$100
Play Type: Top Premium

The Bucks won only 15 games last season - and weren't tanking. Their season was ruined by injuries. Now the Bucks are healthy and well under-the-radar. They have four good players, including the favorite for rookie-of-the-year in Jabari Parker.

Milwaukee is going to be much improved. Parker and Giannis Antetokounmpo are promising 19-year-olds who are budding stars. Brandon Knight is an underrated point guard, who will be helped by Jason Kidd as his coach. Larry Sanders is back after an injured and troubled season last year.

The Hornets are better as underdogs than favorites. They were unable to establish a true rotation during preseason because of multiple injuries.

Lance Stephenson missed the last four preseason games with a groin strain. If he plays, he'll be limited and rusty. Sixth man Gerald Henderson didn't play at all during the preseason and is probably out here, too.

The Hornets rely on Al Jefferson in the paint. Sanders, though, is a top-blocker and can neutralize Jefferson on the defensive end. Given the Bucks' improvement and Hornets' injuries and lack of continuity during preseason this is an excellent time to get on the Bucks.

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Oct 29, 2014
Chicago Bulls vs. New York Knicks
Chicago Bulls
-4-110
  at  5DIMES
Won
$100
Play Type: Top Premium

New York's home-court advantage doesn't make up for this huge of a class difference.

The Bulls are anxious to start this new season after last season's playoff disappointment. Chicago has gotten better with Derrick Rose healthy and the additions of Pau Gasol and rookie Doug McDermott. The Bulls have a much deeper bench than New York.

The Knicks are going against the top defensive club in the NBA while adjusting to a triangle offense brought in by first-year coach Derrick Fisher. The Knicks struggled during preseason even giving up 120 points to the Bucks. J.R. Smith has yet to grasp the triangle and power forward Andrea Bargnani is out with a pulled hamstring.

The Knicks are going to have problems rebounding against Joakim Noah. New York's starting unit of Carmelo Anthony, Ian Shumpert, Jose Calderon, Jason Smith and Samuel Dalembert never played together during preseason. Anthony is a superstar, but the other four are not legitimate NBA starters.

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Oct 29, 2014
San Francisco Giants vs. Kansas City Royals
Total
7 ov-110
  at  5DIMES
Lost
$110.0
Play Type: Top Premium

The Royals are averaging six runs in the four World Series games in which they have not faced Madison Bumgarner. I expect Bumgarner to get into the game tonight, but it will be on extremely short rest and in relief.

The Giants are starting 39-year-old Tim Hudson, who is near the end of the line. Hudson has been able to get by when pitching on extended rest, but he'll be pitching here on normal four day's rest. Hudson's ERA is 8.72 the last five times he's pitched on four day's rest, which came during his last five regular-season starts.

By the time Bumgarner gets into the game it could be too late - plus there is no guarantee how sharp Bumgarner can be pitching on two day's rest and out of the bullpen. He has made only four relief appearances during his major and minor league career. The last time he pitched on two days rest was 2010.

I'm expecting the Giants, though, to put up their share of runs in their second look in six days against 35-year-old Jeremy Guthrie. The over has cashed in eight of San Francisco's last 10 games. The over also is 10-4-1 in Kansas City's past 15 home games. Having the DH is huge for both teams because it gets Michael Morse and Billy Butler in the starting lineups.

Slated home plate umpire Jeff Nelson has a slight bias to the under, but not nearly enough to affect the handicap. The weather forecast is for clear skies with just a slight wind that would be blowing out.  

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SERVICE BIO

Sports gaming writer for Las Vegas Review-Journal 1984-1997. Professional handicapper since 1999. Author of three books - Las Vegas Sportsbeat, Sportsgaming Beat, Winning Fantasy Football. Taught sports betting at UNLV. Former co-host of the Sunday Night Stardust Line sports gaming radio show. Was part-time oddsmaker and analyst for Roxy Roxborough. Recognized NFL expert with 18 of 20 winning seasons.