Stephen Nover Stephen Nover

I have had only two losing season in pro football in my handicapping career. I have the best sources in the business thanks to more than 25 years as a sportswriter, handicapper and analyst.

Stephen Nover's NBA Totals Dominator

Stephen Nover is dominating the NBA going 73-34-1 on his last 108 NBA plays, cashing an amazing 68 percent! Stephen is 17-6 on his last 23 over/unders for 74 percent after winning another totals play on Monday with the under in the Bucks-Bulls game. The profits roll in again today as Stephen has found another totals winner. Ride Stephen's expertise and epic hot hand. Cash big again!

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Stephen Nover's MLB Total of the Week

Stephen Nover has yet to lose a premium baseball totals play this season going 5-0, including cashing an easy winner last night on the over in the Astros-Mariners game. The long-time pro hasn't lost a baseball play the past three days going 4-0. Take advantage of Stephen's expertise and proven high winning percentages. Gain a winning edge and cash! 

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Two for Tuesday Totals Sweep

Stephen Nover is 5-0 on his premium baseball plays this season and has two strong MLB over/unders going today, including his Total of the Week. Get both at this discounted package price and lock into a 2-0 Tuesday baseball day with one of the hottest 'cappers in the country.

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BASKETBALL [NBA+NCAAB] SUBSCRIPTIONS
NBA + CBB Season Pass! of Stephen Nover

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NBA SUBSCRIPTIONS
NBA Season Subscription of Stephen Nover

Everybody has their different styles. My style is studying each game closely. I handicap the games 10 days in advance, making detailed notes that I check to update. Then when the lines come out, I'm ready to pick and choose my spots.

I'm not a shot-gunner. I'll pick my spots. This fits my comfort zone and bankroll. I incorporate matchup analysis, statistics, history but most of all situational aspects into my NBA 'capping. That's why handicapping the games so far in advance is crucial for me. I don't want to miss any potential situational edge.

This system has worked out well for me. I don't beat the NBA every year. But I've had far more winning seasons than losing ones. My long-term record is 209-165-10 on my last 384 games for 56 percent. My short term record is 11-6-1 on my last 18 plays, which all were in the playoffs and included finishing 5-0.

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MLB SUBSCRIPTIONS
MLB Season Subscription of Stephen Nover

Get every single play from now until the last game of the World Series for one low price! Don't miss a single winner on the diamond and watch your profits increase throughout the season from the No. 1 handicapper in February and March!

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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Apr 20, 2015
New York Yankees vs Detroit Tigers
Detroit Tigers
-112 at 5Dimes
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

This is an extremely short price to get the Tigers, who not only have home field but are better offensively and defensively than New York and have a bullpen far less taxed than the Yankees.

The oddsmakers are overratting CC Sabathia, who is past his prime and still may not be 100 percent. The Yankees are 4-9 in his last 13 road starts.
On the flip side, Alfredo Simon isn't getting enough respect. He's 17-10 with a 3.35 ERA during the past two years. He doesn't get a lot of strikeouts, but he has a strong defense behind him. 
Simon is at his best during April, too, with a 6-1 mark and 1.75 ERA during the past two Aprils.

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Apr 20, 2015
Milwaukee Bucks vs Chicago Bulls
Milwaukee Bucks
+8 -105 at 5Dimes
Lost
$105.0
Play Type: Premium

The Bucks are going to come hard at the Bulls here. The intensity level has risen. Points should be hard to come by.
As expected the young Bucks had first game playoff jitters - and it showed. They won't have that problem in Game 2. Their nerves have settled down.
Derrick Rose scored 23 points and had seven assists in his first playoff game in three years. Rose still has some rust. I don't expect him to shoot as well as he did in Game 1. The Bucks had the right strategy double-teaming Pau Gasol. He had his lowest-scoring game in six weeks missing 12 of 17 shots from the field.
The Bucks lost by 12 points in Game 1, but took six more shots than the Bulls. Milwaukee, though, shot only 39.3 percent from the floor and 69.3 percent from the foul line. Chicago shot 45.8 percent from the floor. The Bucks were the seventh-best shooting team from the field during the regular season averaging 45.9 percent while making 75.7 percent of their free throws.
The Bulls have failed to cover 17 of the past 25 times following a point spread cover.



 
 

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Apr 20, 2015
Milwaukee Bucks vs Chicago Bulls
Total
187 un-110 at Bovada
Won
$100
Play Type: Top Premium

The Bulls beat the Bucks, 103-91, in Game 1 of the series for a combined 194 points. There were 59 points scored during the first quarter. After that the teams settled down to average 45 points a quarter during the final three quarters. If the scoring pace for the last three periods of Game 1 follows form the combined total would be 180.
Of course the key question is will it? I believe it will.
Jason Kidd and Tom Thibodeau are defensive-minded coaches. These long-time division rivals know each other well. The under had cashed four straight times in this series until the Game 1 matchup.
The intensity level - already high - is going to be raised a level. Kidd was not happy about how that first quarter played out even though Milwaukee trailed just 30-29 following it. He said the pace was too fast and set a bad tone for his team.
The Bucks are not a big scoring team. They prefer a methodical pace. Their backcourt scoring is especially vulnerable after making the change from Brandon Knight to Michael Carter-Williams, a very low percentage shooter. He missed nine of 13 shots from the field in Game 1 bothered by Derrick Rose, an excellent defender.
Milwaukee held Pau Gasol to his lowest-scoring game since March 1. The Bucks double-teamed Gasol, who shot just 5-of-17 from the floor scoring 10 points. However, Rose played much better than expected in his first playoff game since tearing his ACL in a 2012 playoff game.  
Rose scored 23 points while making three of seven shots from 3-point range. However, he shot only two free throws. I don't see Rose shooting as well in this Game 2 especially since 44 percent of his field goal attempts in Game 1 were launched from 3-point range. The Bucks are going to continue to double Gasol forcing Rose to spend a lot of time dribbling and then launching long, low-percentage shots.

 
 

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Apr 20, 2015
Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners
Total
7 ov-109 at 5Dimes
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

Hisashi Iwakuma isn't pitching well enough to have a total this low and Houston rookie Asher Wojciechowski hasn't proven worthy yet of having an over/under this low.
Wojciechowski is in Houston's starting rotation only because Brad Peacock had to go on the disabled list. This is Wojciechowski's second big league start. He gave up four runs on eight hits, including two homers, in four-plus inning in a 5-1 loss to the Indians on April 9. The Indians rank 25th in runs scored. That was the second-most runs they've scored all season.
Wojciechowski is going to have to deal with a red-hot Nelson Cruz, who is batting .485 during his last eight games with 14 RBI's and leading the majors in homers with eight. Cruz has hammed Houston pitching for six homers and 14 RBI's in his last 12 games versus the Astros.
Iwakuma isn't in good form. He's allowed nine runs, including three homers, 15 hits and three walks in 11 innings this season facing the Angels and Dodgers. Iwakuma also doesn't have a good history against Houston. He was 2-3 with a 5.40 ERA versus the Astros last season in five starts.
The over is 8-2-1 during Iwakuma's past 11 starts.





SERVICE BIO

Sports gaming writer for Las Vegas Review-Journal 1984-1997. Professional handicapper since 1999. Author of three books - Las Vegas Sportsbeat, Sportsgaming Beat, Winning Fantasy Football. Taught sports betting at UNLV. Former co-host of the Sunday Night Stardust Line sports gaming radio show. Was part-time oddsmaker and analyst for Roxy Roxborough. Recognized NFL expert with 18 of 20 winning seasons.