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Stephen Nover |
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| I have had only one losing season in pro football in my handicapping career. I have the best sources in the business thanks to more than 25 years as a sportswriter, handicapper and analyst. |
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| SHORT STATS | ||||
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| Last 7 days | Units | ROI | Pct | WL |
| Moneyline Picks | +370.0 units | +30.6% | 70% | 7-3 |
| Overall Picks | +239.0 units | +12.1% | 59% | 10-7 |
| O/U Picks | +80.0 units | +23.3% | 67% | 2-1 |
| Top Play Picks | +59.0 units | +4.0% | 54% | 7-6 |
| Last 30 days | Units | ROI | Pct | WL |
| Moneyline Picks | +17.0 units | +0.5% | 53% | 17-15 |
| YESTERDAY'S PLAYS | ||
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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MLB | May 18, 2013 Houston Astros vs. Pittsburgh Pirates |
Total 7 ov-120 at BETUS |
Lost $120.0 |
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The Astros are proving to be an over machine with their combination of terrible starting pitching, horrible defense, gas can bullpen and decent home run power. The over is 18-6-2 (75%) in the Astros' last 26 games. The Astros are going with lefty Erik Bedard, who has been so crippled with injuries that he's nothing more than a four-inning pitcher at this stage. And not a very good one at that. Only once this season, has Bedard reached the fifth inning. He has a 6.67 ERA. The Pirates are batting .297 in their last 16 games versus lefties. The Pirates are familiar with Bedard. He pitched for them last season going 7-14. Bedard can expect no help from a bullpen that ranks last in the majors allowing 30 homers and has a 4.99 ERA. A.J. Burnett has been fantastic, but he's 4-5 with a 4.54 ERA in 11 career starts versus the Astros. Burnett's career has been marked with inconsistency so it's doubtful he can keep up this pace. The Astros should get a lift as infielder Jose Altuve, who leads the Astros in batting at .333, is expected to be activated from the bereavement list. There's a slight breeze blowing out and the home plate umpire is slated to be CB Bucknor, who is more of an over than under ump. |
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MLB | May 18, 2013 Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins |
Arizona Diamondbacks -148 at BETONLINE |
Won $100 |
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Brandon McCarthy has gotten better in each of his last three starts as he becomes adjusted to the National League. His last start - this past Sunday against the Phillies - was his best of the season. He shut out Philadelphia for eight innings before Heath Bell blew the save. I don't trust Bell as a closer. But this game shouldn't come down to Bell because Arizona figures to bury the non-competitive Marlins especially with this pitching matchup. The price is still low enough to get involved. The desperate Marlins are turning to converted reliever Tom Koehler, who has never won in the majors as he makes his third career start. Koehler has surrendered six runs on 10 hits with just two strikeouts in nine innings during his past three appearances. He threw a career-high 79 pitches in his last start this past Sunday. Koehler can expect no help from an overworked bullpen and the weakest-hitting lineup in baseball. Miami relievers have gone at least three innings in seven straight games. The Diamondbacks have won seven of their last eight in Miami, averaging 7.4 runs, batting .317 with 10 homers. The Marlins are tied with Houston for the worst record in baseball having lost 31 of their 42 games. The Marlins are 1-9 in their last 10 games. They have dropped six in a row averaging less than two runs per game during their losing streak while batting .219. They do not have one respectable power hitter with Giancarlo Stanton out. |
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SERVICE BIO |
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| Sports gaming writer for Las Vegas Review-Journal 1984-1997. Professional handicapper since 1999. Author of three books - Las Vegas Sportsbeat, Sportsgaming Beat, Winning Fantasy Football. Taught sports betting at UNLV. Former co-host of the Sunday Night Stardust Line sports gaming radio show. Was part-time oddsmaker and analyst for Roxy Roxborough. |
