Stephen Nover Stephen Nover

I have had only two losing season in pro football in my handicapping career. I have the best sources in the business thanks to more than 25 years as a sportswriter, handicapper and analyst.

ALL SPORTS SUBSCRIPTIONS
1 day All Sports subscription of Stephen Nover

With this subscription you get EVERY SINGLE PLAY released for the day of your purchase. If your day does not show a profit, the next day is FREE!

No picks available.

3 days All Sports subscription of Stephen Nover
With this subscription you'll get every single play released for 3 consecutive days! This is our most popular subscription during football season because when purchased Saturday morning it gets you all of Saturday and Sunday's picks PLUS any plays on Monday Night Football! As always, this subscription is guaranteed to show a profit or you'll get another 3 days absolutely FREE!

No picks available.

7 days All Sports subscription of Stephen Nover

Looking for some great value? Pick up a weekly package and get SEVEN DAYS full days of picks! It's easy to see why this is one of the most popular choices on the site. You will profit or get an extra 7 days FREE!

No picks available.

30 days All Sports subscription

SAVE A TON of money with a 30 Day subscription! You'll literally pay a fraction of the cost by signing up for a full month instead of making a single purchase each day! We guarantee you'll make a profit or we'll give you 30 more days at NO EXTRA COST!

No picks available.

90 days All Sports subscription of Stephen Nover

This package gets you three months (90 Days) of all picks in all sports! PROFIT or you get an EXTRA 90 Days on us!

No picks available.

180 days All Sports subscription of Stephen Nover

This package gets you every play in every sport for a full 6 months! The ultimate package for maximum action and the biggest winners in the industry! PROFIT or you will receive an additional 180 days of all sports picks ON US!

No picks available.

365 days All Sports subscription
You'll learn how the pros make a living via sports betting with EVERY PLAY released over the next 365 days. We are so sure we'll profit that we GUARANTEE it with another YEARLY package if we don't end the season showing you a profit.

No picks available.

NCAA-F SUBSCRIPTIONS
One day NCAA-F of Stephen Nover

One day NCAA-F of Stephen Nover

No picks available.

College Football Season Subscription of Stephen Nover

College presents opportunities that the NFL doesn't where sometimes you can actually find line value.

I've beaten the colleges the past three years averaging 57.5 percent while hitting better than 67 percent in the bowls by combining many handicapping factors such as matchup analysis, statistics, history, weather and situational elements. Information is the key because there are just so many teams and conferences on the betting board now.

I don't rule out any game or conference. It's a task to find the time to adequately handicap each game. So I'm fortunate that I have many sources to rely on. Many stem from having been a sportswriter/sports editor for daily newspapers in the Midwest, South and West for more than 20 years and having been the sports gaming writer for the Las Vegas Review-Journal for 13 years while also having covered the UNLV football team as the team beat writer for several years.

I have the knowledge, experience and resources necessary to win. I've won the past three years and I expect to turn a tidy profit again this season.

No picks available.

MLB SUBSCRIPTIONS
MLB Season Subscription of Stephen Nover

Get every single play from now until the last game of the World Series for one low price! Don't miss a single winner on the diamond and watch your profits increase throughout the season from the No. 1 handicapper in February and March!

No picks available.

FOOTBALL [NFL+NCAAF] SUBSCRIPTIONS
One day Football of Stephen Nover

One day Football of Stephen Nover

No picks available.

NFL & CFB Season Pass of Stephen Nover

Lock into a top season value by getting all of Vegas wiseguy Stephen Nover's NFL and college football. Stephen is recognized as one of the top NFL 'cappers in the world having won 20 of the last 22 years, including placing No. 1 three years ago with a 48-21-5 record for 69 percent. Stephen also is a highly underrated college football handicapper having won each of the past three years, including cashing 78 percent of his bowl plays this past season. Don't miss any of his football plays by getting his NFL & CFB season pass for a combined discounted fare. 

No picks available.

NFL SUBSCRIPTIONS
One day NFL of Stephen Nover

One day NFL of Stephen Nover, the No. 1 NFL handicapper in 2012.

No picks available.

7-Day NFL Subscription of Stephen Nover

Get 7 days of every premium NFL pick with this subscription option! It's a great way to get started, plus, you are GUARANTEED to WIN or you get an Extra 7 Days of NFL Picks FREE! Stephen was the No. 1 NFL 'capper in 2012 cashing 69 percent!

No picks available.

1 Month NFL Subscription of Stephen Nover

Get every NFL release for a full 30 days and you're bankroll will be better than ever! This subscription is GUARANTEED to profit or the next month is on us! We have no problem making this offer as Stephen has beaten the NFL in 18 of the last 19 seasons, including going 48-21-5 for 69 percent last year! No other 'capper could match that record.

No picks available.

FULL Season NFL Subscription

Stephen Nover has owned the NFL turning a profit in 20 of the last 22 NFL seasons. Stephen even taught a football handicapping class at UNLV. The long-time pro won 69 percent of his NFL plays (48-21-5) in 2012, including going a perfect 8-0 in the playoffs. Stephen is a multiple Rotisserie league football champion and was an award-winning sportswriter for the Las Vegas Review-Journal for 13 years. He also worked for the legendary linesmaker Roxy Roxbury, who was the top oddsmaker in North America before retiring. Don't miss out. Lock in now and get all of Stephen's plays at a value price.

No picks available.

YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Sep 24, 2016
Duke vs Notre Dame
Notre Dame
-20 -115 at BMaker
Lost
$115.0
Play Type: Premium

People are focusing on Notre Dame having already lost twice. But Duke is way down this season with a terrible loss to Wake Forest and then Northwestern. The Blue Devils aren't 100 percent healthy on defense and lack the playmakers to keep up with a frustrated Irish squad in need of a wipeout performance. 
Now Duke, which is full of underclassmen, has to try to step up against Notre Dame. It's not going to happen. The Blue Devils haven't seen this kind of offensive talent. Notre Dame, on the other hand, gets to drop way down in class having already gone up against Texas and Michigan State. 
This is a matchup where laying three touchdowns is cheap.

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Sep 24, 2016
Air Force vs Utah State
OVER 52.5 -105 Lost
$105.0
Play Type: Top Premium

This is my total of the week. Punting can't be overlooked here. Neither team has a strong punting game. Air Force can especially exploit a short field. The Falcons lead the nation in rush yards per game and are fifth in total offense. They will be well rested, too, following a bye week.

Air Force scored 48 points on Georgia State in its last game two weeks ago. By contrast, Wisconsin managed only 23 points against Georgia State and that was in Madison. 
Utah State has capable skill position players in dual threat quarterback Kent Myers and running backs Devante Mays and Tonny Lindsey.
Both teams have strong kick returners.

Both teams have a strong history of going over the total in Mountain West Conference action. Air Force has gone above the total seven times in a row in conference, while the over has cashed nine of the last 10 times Utah State has played a Mountain West opponent. 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Sep 24, 2016
Bowling Green vs Memphis
UNDER 68.5 -110 Lost
$110.0
Play Type: Premium

Don't look for a game like last year's 44-41 shootout won by Memphis. Bowling Green won't be able to keep pace this year. The Falcons are averaging fewer than 20 points per game. The Falcons have not received good quarterback play and haven't decided on a full-time starter. 
Memphis should put up its share of points,but the Tigers are far from perfect offensively. They gave up five sacks to Kansas last week and have a much bigger game next week when they play Mississippi on the road. So the Tigers likely will be pulling starters if they build a big lead. 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Sep 24, 2016
Penn State vs Michigan
OVER 56 -110 Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

Mighty Michigan can nearly cover this total by itself averaging 53 points per game. The Wolverines host Penn State, which is giving up nearly 35 points per game during its past two games and is extremely thin at linebacker. 
Already missing two linebackers, the Nittany Lions lost perhaps their best defensive player, senior linebacker Nyeem Wartman-White, to a season-ending knee injury last week. Michigan quarterback Wilton Speight has established himself with three consecutive strong games. The Wolverines will be looking to go over the total for an eighth straight time at home. 
Penn State should be able to put up its share of points against a Michigan defense that yielded four touchdowns to Colorado at home last week. The Nittany Lions have a pair of potential sophomore stars on offense in quarterback Trace McSorley, who is proving to be an adequate replacement for Christian Hackenberg, and running back Saquon Barkley.

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Sep 24, 2016
Pittsburgh vs North Carolina
Pittsburgh
+7 -111 at pinnacle
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

Pittsburgh has triple revenge having lost the past three years to North Carolina, never by more than seven points during this span. The Panthers are 5-0 ATS when playing with triple revenge. 
Another favorable spot for the Panthers is drawing the Tar Heels with a look-ahead road game against Florida State the following week while they finally get a breather hosting down-in-the-dumps Marshall. 
Matchup-wise, the Panthers' outstanding running attack, led by James Conner, can control the ball and gauge a Tar Heels rush defense that ranks 106th giving up more than 226 yards per game on the ground. North Carolina just surrendered 495 yards, 28 first downs and 28 points to James Madison, an FCS team, last week. 
Pittsburgh's defense has been disappointing up to this point. But I trust Pat Narduzzi, one of the most respected defensive minds in the country, to fix things. 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Sep 24, 2016
Oklahoma State vs Baylor
Oklahoma State
+8 -110 at BMaker
Lost
$110.0
Play Type: Top Premium

I haven't been impressed with Baylor, which has played weak competition and didn't cover any of its three games. Facing Northwestern State, SMU and Rice is not a good non-conference buildup to stepping up against Oklahoma State. It's not stepping out to say the Bears played the weakest non-conference schedule of any Big 12 team.
Baylor's great defensive stats are skewed by this easy schedule. Oklahoma State quarterback Mason Rudolph and and wide receiver James Washington can hurt any defense. An added plus for the Cowboys would be if safety Orion Stewart can't play after injuring his ribs against Rice last week and if cornerback Ryan Reid has to miss a second straight week after sustaining a high ankle sprain versus SMU. 
I believe Baylor quarterback Seth Russell is a real downgrade from recent Baylor quarterbacks. The Bears have had to endure a lot of uncertainty and a coaching change due to recent scandals. It has hurt their recruiting. This is their first big test in the post Art Briles era and I can't see the Bears winning by more than a touchdown against this high quality opponent that has a real chip on its shoulder from getting ripped off against Central Michigan two weeks ago on an extra play that shouldn't have been allowed. 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Sep 24, 2016
Idaho vs UNLV
UNLV
-14½ -104 at pinnacle
Lost
$104.0
Play Type: Free

Each team is 1-2, but that is where the similarities end. 
Idaho didn't look good in a lackluster 20-17 victory against Montana State and was blown out 59-14 at Washington and 56-6 at Washington State. The Vandals' offense is down from a year ago while UNLV's defense has improved with more speed and athletic talent. 
Things are so bad for the Vandals that they are voluntarily dropping down to FCS status in two years. They don't have the talent and resources to compete. 
The arrow is headed the other way for UNLV under second-year head man Tony Sanchez, the Rebels' best coach during the past 30 years. 
The Rebels are in a kill spot after consecutive road games against UCLA and Central Michigan. The demoralized Vandals are on the road a third consecutive week. 
Sanchez is in the process of building up the Rebels' program and lopsided victories help. UNLV can't - and won't - be screwing around here knowing they have to earn a bowl bid and style points help.
The Rebels have a very good running back, Lexington Thomas, and a strong-armed quarterback Johnny Stanton, who should get his confidence back up facing an Idaho secondary allowing more than 65 percent completions. 
The Vandals give up 42.1 points per game, ranking 122nd in the nation in scoring defense and 117th in total defense. Only three of the 128 football bowl subdivision teams give up more rushing yards per game than Idaho. So Thomas - who averages 6.2 yards per carry - should run wild which in turn will make things easier for Stanton to cut loose and improve his accuracy. 

(Editor's note: Stephen Nover is 20-8-1 for 71 percent on his last 29 premium college football plays through Thursday and has five more plays going Saturday, including his Game of the Month and Total of the Week.) 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Sep 24, 2016
New Mexico State vs Troy
Troy
-19½ -115 at BMaker
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

Take good early value by playing this line now as I see it climbing past three touchdowns. New Mexico State can't keep up with Troy. The Aggies got buried by a score of 52-7 last year by the Trojans - and that was in Las Cruces. 

This is the Aggies' third road game in four weeks and second in two weeks after playing at SEC foe Kentucky this past Saturday. They don't have the defense and depth to hang here. 

PICKS IN PROGRESS
Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Sep 25, 2016
Reds vs Brewers
Brewers
-125 at Bovada
Play Type: Premium

The Brewers are playing their final home game of the season so motivation shouldn't be lacking. 
Milwaukee is 13-9 this month and going with Wily Peralta, who has pitched much better after a stint in the minors. He has a 26-to-4 strikeout-to-walk ratio in his last four starts.
The Reds are going with Brandon Finnegan, who has hit the wall lasting just 2 1/3 innings during his last start. The Reds plan on shutting down Finnegan after this start. Finnegan, who has thrown 167 innings this season, has struggled versus the Brewers with a 4.15 ERA. He had never pitched more than 25 innings in the majors before this season. 

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Sep 25, 2016
Lions vs Packers
OVER 47.5 -110
Play Type: Top Premium

The Packers' offense will pick up at home where Aaron Rodgers and Co. are more comfortable. Green Bay opened with its first two games on the road. Jordy Nelson should be close to full strength now that we're in Week 3.
The Lions will be missing their two best defensive players, pass rusher Ezekiel Ansah and linebacker DeAndre Levy. 
Detroit can put up points with its no-huddle offense. The Lions also catch a huge break in that the Packers will be without three of their top four defensive players as out are Clay Matthews, Sam Shields and Morgan Burnett. The Packers' defensive front seven could be especially thin, too, as Letroy Guion and Datone Jones are doubtful. 

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Sep 25, 2016
Steelers vs Eagles
Steelers
-3½ +105 at pinnacle
Play Type: Premium

The Eagles have looked surprisingly good so far. But look at whom they have beaten - the winless Browns and winless Bears. 
Now the Eagles are stepping way up facing one of the top seven teams in the NFL. 
Ben Roethlisberger leads the NFL in touchdown passes. He can - and should - easily exploit a short-handed Eagles secondary that is minus cornerback Leodis McKelvin. The Eagles have looked better than they are defensively by facing Robert Griffin III and Jay Cutler/Brian Hoyer. Roethlisberger gets back his No. 2 wideout, Markus Wheaton, to go with Antonio Brown. The Steelers have two solid other wide receivers. 
Carson Wentz will be going against the best defense he's seen so far. He won't have tight end Zach Ertz either. The Eagles need to set up Wentz by churning out rushing yards. Wentz has never played from behind before. The chances are strong that happens here. The Eagles don't have the firepower to keep up with the Steelers' high-powered attack. 
The Steelers have been solid as chalk covering 10 the last 13 times when favored. 

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Sep 25, 2016
Redskins vs Giants
Redskins
+4½ -105 at BMaker
Play Type: Top Premium

I want desperate teams, especially taking this many points in a division matchup. It's circle-the-wagons time for the 0-2 Redskins.
This has been an underdog series with the 'dog getting the money eight of the last 11 times. 
The Giants are 2-0 having eked out last-minute victories against the Cowboys and Saints by a combined four points. New York's defense is much improved from a year ago courtesy of a $200 million spending spree. But it's far from dominant and the Giants offense has yet to impress averaging 18 points a game. The Giants have a below average ground attack.
Kirk Cousins isn't Pro Bowl caliber. But he's also better than what he has shown so far this season. He has excellent receiving weapons - especially with a matchup of Jordan Reed against the Giants mediocre linebackers - and has received excellent pass protection. The Giants have a below average pass rush.
The Redskins have moved the ball they've just had trouble putting up touchdowns in the red zone. That should change with better play-calling, including not overusing fade routes that don't work. 
Josh Norman shores up the Redskins' secondary and the coaching staff finally has figured out to move Norman around. That means he's likely to be shadowing Odell Beckham Jr. Norman got inside Beckham's head last season. He's probably the cornerback that Beckham least likes to face. 

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Sep 25, 2016
Browns vs Dolphins
Dolphins
-10 +102 at pinnacle
Play Type: Premium

The Dolphins are 0-2 and playing their first home game. They are in a kill spot. Except for a bad first half against New England, the Dolphins' defense has looked solid especially their front. 

The Browns are forced to go with third-string rookie quarterback Cody Kessler because of injuries to Robert Griffin III and Josh McCown. Kessler isn't nearly ready. He looked bad during preseason - overmatched - and he's not helped by the Browns' offensive line being much inferior to the Dolphins' defensive front.

The Browns also may be without their best defensive back, Joe Haden. 

Miami's offense should pick up having gotten more in tune with offensive guru Adam Gase's system. The Dolphins step way down in class having opened on the road against Seattle and New England. Those two teams can make any team look bad. 

The Browns also aren't used to playing in South Florida kind of heat. Look for their depth-shy team to wear down in the second half.

SERVICE BIO

Sports gaming writer for Las Vegas Review-Journal 1984-1997. Professional handicapper since 1999. Author of three books - Las Vegas Sportsbeat, Sportsgaming Beat, Winning Fantasy Football. Taught sports betting at UNLV. Former co-host of the Sunday Night Stardust Line sports gaming radio show. Was part-time oddsmaker and analyst for Roxy Roxborough. Recognized NFL expert with 18 of 20 winning seasons.