Bryan Leonard Bryan Leonard
Known in Vegas circles as the Mid-American Conference Expert. The first three weeks of the season our MAC GOWs have covered by 23, 24 and 44 points! If you loved Akron over Marshall last week you are going to adore
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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Sep 24, 2016
Florida vs Tennessee
Florida
+6½ -105 at BMaker
Lost
$105.0
Play Type: Premium

383 Florida at Tennessee

It’s not often that a team has lost 11 straight in a series is installed as a touchdown favorite. Especially since the Volunteers have majorly underperformed this year while this weeks opposition has been outstanding. In three games this season Tennessee has lost the yards per play battle 4.4 to 4.3 against Appalachian State, and 5.3 to 4.9 against Virginia Tech. Last week the team did outperform Ohio 5.9 to 4.2 but only won by 9 as a 27 1/2 point favorite.

While this is the first road game of the season for Florida, last year under Jim McElwain the Gators went 3-1 SU on the road with the only loss being by 7 at #6 LSU. Florida is down to its second string QB this week but Appleby had plenty of experience at Purdue before transferring. The best unit on the field is the Florida defense which is already +15 sacks on the season. A major advantage this week against a Tennessee offensive line which has struggled. We look for the Gators to extend this winning streak to 12 with an outright win in Knoxville. 

PLAY FLORIDA

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Sep 24, 2016
Oklahoma State vs Baylor
Oklahoma State
+9 -110 at BMaker
Lost
$110.0
Play Type: Premium

349 Oklahoma State at Baylor

The Cowboys have been tested with back to back games against Central Michigan and Pittsburgh. This is a team that is on a 6-3 run as road dogs and well remembers last years meeting hosting the Bears. Oklahoma State was ranked #4 in the country and were knocked off by Baylor 45-35 at home. That led to a three game losing streak to end the season after such a promising start. This game has been circled by the Cowboys. Oklahoma State has won six straight outright on the road including wins at Oklahoma, Texas, West Virginia and Texas Tech.

Unlike the Cowboys Baylor has cruised this season against some of the worst teams in college football. Wins over Northwestern State, SMU and Rice doesn’t prepare you for Big 12 play. While the Baylor defense has been fine the offense produced just 5.2 yards per play against SMU and 6.6 vs Rice. The big play ability in past seasons doesn’t seem to be there this season in Waco. Too many points to give a Cowboys team that has revenge on its mind.

PLAY OKLAHOMA STATE

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Sep 24, 2016
Miami (OH) vs Cincinnati
Miami (OH)
+17 -104 at pinnacle
Won
$100
Play Type: Top Premium

375 Miami Ohio at Cincinnati

Terrible scheduling situation for the host who played Houston on National Television last week and have major revenge against South Florida on deck. USF led Cincy 51-3 at halftime in what would become an embarrassing 65-27 loss. The Bearcats have dominated this one way rivalry series winning ten straight. We can’t see them getting up to play this lesser MAC team.

Miami on the other hand is much improved this year and has already faced the likes of Iowa and Western Kentucky, two spread covering contests. While conference action starts next week as the Redhawks host Ohio, this game has more meaning to the players. A win over their close rival would build major confidence heading into MAC action. Under Chuck Martin Miami is 9-4 ATS as a road underdog and they have enough talent to take this one to the wire.

PLAY MIAMI OHIO

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Sep 24, 2016
Iowa vs Rutgers
Iowa
-12½ -106 at pinnacle
Lost
$106.0
Play Type: Premium

325 Iowa at Rutgers

The Hawkeyes lost as a two touchdown favorite last week to an excellent FCS team in North Dakota State. But we expect a big bounce back here from Kirk Ferentz and his crew. Iowa is 24–13-1 ATS off a straight up loss the past nine years. The Hawkeyes have also been a terrific road favorite cashing ten straight in that role. Iowa has been an outstanding 12-3 straight up on the road the past 3+ years and Rutgers doesn’t have much of a home field advantage. Iowa is a physical team that can dominate this thin Rutgers squad as the game goes on. 

Rutgers has played two FBS teams thus far losing the yards per play stat by 2.9 to Washington and by 0.2 to New Mexico at home last week. A Lobos team who prefers to run the football as opposed to beating you through the air. The Scarlet Knights are on a 1-7 straight up run in conference play with the lone victory coming against Indiana by 3 points. With only Northwestern on deck there is absolutely no lookahead for the Hawkeyes who have beaten the Wildcats by 30 and 41 points the past two years.

PLAY IOWA

PICKS IN PROGRESS
Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Sep 25, 2016
Bears vs Cowboys
Bears
+6½ -100 at pinnacle
Play Type: Top Premium

487 Chicago at Dallas

The injury to Jay Cutler is a positive as Brian Hoyer is equal or better than the troubled Bears starter. In fact, his teammates have never been a fan of Cutler so we should see an added focus for Hoyer. 

Dallas has been a very poor team at home posting a 1-8 straight up mark at the Jerry Dome. Underdogs in Cowboys games have been golden the past few seasons as points seem to be at a premium. Dallas is a public team, and after the terrible Monday Night Football performances from the Bears, value is on Chicago.

PLAY CHICAGO

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Sep 25, 2016
Vikings vs Panthers
Vikings
+7 -108 at pinnacle
Play Type: Premium

476 Minnesota at Carolina

Carolina struggled offensively the last two games against Denver, and we rate this Minnesota team just as strongly defensively. Minnesota has been on quite the pointspread run as the winning has continued into the 2016 season. 

Despite the loss of their top running back who is out a few games at the minimum, we are fine with the other Minnesota runners. Bradford has been solid as a replacement at quarterback and we just don’t see a lot of difference in our power ratings between these two teams. A touchdown is just too much to lay into this Minnesota defense.

PLAY MINNESOTA

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Sep 25, 2016
Browns vs Dolphins
Browns
+10 -123 at pinnacle
Play Type: Premium

469 Cleveland at Miami

Nobody wants any part of the Browns right now and there is even talk of Cleveland going winless. But keep in mind the Browns had a better yards per play average in both games against Philadelphia and Baltimore. The drop-off at quarterback from RGIII and McCown to Kessler is out eyes is very minimal. We’ve already seen rookie QBs have success the past couple years, and we see no reason why Kessler can’t keep the Browns competitive.

Miami has one of the weakest home field advantages in the NFL, and how many times do you see an 0-2 team laying this type of number? This goes down to the wire.

PLAY CLEVELAND

SERVICE BIO

Owner of Bryan Leonard Sports for the last 31 years. Multiple award winning documented service in all sports. Participant in the Stardust Invitational, finalist in both the Leroy's Money Talks contest and the Sunset Station Invitational here in Las Vegas. Featured speaker the past two seasons in the LasVegas Football Handicapping Seminar.