Freddy Wills Freddy Wills
#1 Career college football handicapper return! - Freddy's college football pre-season package goes up in price on Thursday! Wednesday is the last chance to take advantage! $339K in profit for $1,000 bettors!
3.3* Early Bird Special Saturday - #Stanford vs. #Northwestern

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Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Sep 05, 2015
Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa
Florida Atlantic
in 15h

Florida Atlantic +6.5 1.1* Free Play 

FAU was not as bad as their record suggested last year (3-9).  They lost 4 games in the last 30 seconds, and they figure to be a little deeper on defense to hold up late.  They beat Tulsa last year 50-21, and I just don't see the overnight turnaround for this Tulsa team that is getting a lot of hype.  FAU has recruited well under Patridge in the state of Florida and I could see them winning this game. 

Tulsa gets a lot hype with Phil Montgomery coming in with 16 starters returning.  However, this offense just was not any good and they have major questions on defense especially in the secondary.  Montgomery is getting a lot of credit already coming over as Baylor's previous offensive coordinator, but he takes over an offense that was 93rd in yards per play.  He will definitely improve them, but in game 1 he goes up against a team with a veteran QB in Jacquez Johnson and a defense whose strength is against the pass.  I expect a back and forth game for the most part, but I think FAU will have a chance to win late.

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Sep 03, 2015
Duke vs Tulane
+7½ -106 at pinnacle
Play Type: Free

Tulane +7.5 1.1* Complimentary Action
Duke is an interesting story. From 1995 to 2012 they went 18-126 in the ACC, but the last 2 years they went 11-6 despite a -40, and -70 yards per game defecit. They lose a ton of talent in 2015, but most notably are their QB Anthony Boone, WR Crowder, but the 95 career starts between their two key hogs up on the offensive line in Laken Tomlinson and Takoby Cofield. That could be a huge issue on Thursday night on the road against Tulane, whose strength is a defensive line that has been a top 40 group in adjusted line yards the last two years. 

What I really like about this play is Tulane has 16 returning starters and can only get better. Their 34 point loss to Duke last year on the road was not as bad as the scoreboard indicated and Curtis Johnson has done a fine job of recruiting and building depth. The offense will still struggle, but their defense should keep them in games especially against a rebuilding team like Duke who themselves have a ton of question marks on offense. I expect a low scoring one possession score game.

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Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Sep 03, 2015
Michigan vs Utah
+5 -110 at BMaker
Play Type: Top Premium

Michigan +5 5.5* NCAAF POD

I love the value we are getting with Michigan here on the road against Utah and I'm going to go ahead and make it an official max play.  First of all these two teams have a lot more in common then you'd think.  Strong defenses that will rely on the running game to win a game.  Both will play in a lot of close games and I can't imagine Michigan not being within a field goal here.  Utah's offense took some big hits in terms of playmakers and they go up against a very experienced Michigan defense.  I expect it to be a very low scoring game.  Utah's strength of a pass rush should not play a part on Thursday night I just don't see Iowa transfer Jake Rudock being asked to do a ton other than not turning the ball over.  Michigan was -16 in turnover margin last year and are among the teams that have a great chance at improving.  Since 1991 teams with -10 or more TO margin 79% improved or stayed the same.  The additiona of Jake Rudock from Iowa - 16TD / 5 INT will almost certainly guarantee that.

Utah also did not have the home field advantage it previously had losing to Washington State and Oregon last year and beating USC by 3.  Utah has a bigger game the following week against in state rival Utah State.  For Michigan this is a bigger game and Jim Harbaugh's coming out party.  It's rare that you will get a team like Michigan with an elite defense as a 5 point under dog on the road to open the season against a team whose offense returns just 6 starters and ranked 98th in yards per play on offense.  Bottom line... 

Michigan's defense is stronger - top 10 run defense home and away, they both have similar offenses with QB's that did not turn the ball over last year, and both can stop the run, but I believe Michigan is just a bit better on defense, and running the ball, and the coaching has improved significantly with a team that has always had more talent.  Jim Harbough in his past has taken a bit of time improving his teams, but his last two stops in college were San Diego taking them 7-4, and then 22-2 after, STanford was 16-40 before Harbough got there then went 9-15 and 20-6.  However, Harbough never got this much talent right away and I think the results should be truly amazing with a ton of close games because of this defense.  

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Sep 03, 2015
Western Kentucky vs Vanderbilt
0 -106 at pinnacle
Play Type: Premium

Vanderbilt pk 3.3* ODDSMAKER ERROR

Well I'm jumping on Vandy on opening night, and I expect I'll be in the minority, but that's okay.  I'm about winning money and I see value in this line ans so do my formulas.  Derek Mason is coming into his second year at Vandy, and his schedule is extremely tough.  This may actually be one of the winnable games on the schedule.  Vanderbilt has serious questions on offense, but this is a very nice game to open up to as Western Kentucky was 119th in yards per play allowed.  You won't find a team on Vanderbilt's schedule last year that was as bad.

Vanderbilt will get 18 starters back from last year including 93 career starts along the offensive line. When this team was able to run the ball they put up points in 2014, and I expect that will be the focus here on Thursday which they should be able to do with Ralph Webb returning after a quality year and the fact that WKU allowed 5.35 ypc on the road and they allowed a 163 QB rating.  I look for Vanderbilt to keep the ball away from the Hilltoppers explosive and talented offense led by Brandon Doughty. 

Speaking of Doughty, there has been a lot of hype from his season a year ago and he has the majority of everyone back, but I see this offensive line having some issues on Thursday night after losing their best lineman to graduation.  I also think we have value considering Doughty is getting a lot of press, and this is a very similar match up that Vanderbilt had last year with Old Dominion and a senior QB Taylor Heincke.  Vanderbilt won that game comfortably, and are 16-3 in their last 4 years in non-conference games.

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Sep 04, 2015
Colorado vs Hawaii
+7 -104 at 5Dimes
Play Type: Top Premium

Hawaii +7.5 4.4* POD

Both of these teams head into the 2015 season with high hopes for improving and there are a lot of things to like about each for achieving that goal, but I think Hawaii really needs this game more, and Colorado's defense could have a hard time in this game.  Hawaii brings in USC transfer QB Max Wittek to take over an offense that returns 2 of their top receivers in Pedroza and Kemp and they bring in an offensive coordinator for the first time under Norm Chow.  Chow must really be a control freak, but he's on the hot seat and knows he had to do this.  Don Bailey comes over and he will feature an uptempo attack that he ran at FCS Idaho State.  Bailey brought Idaho State out of nowhere and they ranked 1st in passing offense and 2nd in total offense among FCS teams.  This offense will undoubtedly improve and they'll face Colorado whose ranked 116th, 110th, and 124th the last 3 years in yards per play allowed.

Hawaii was actually better than their record indicated last year with 4 net closes losses of 10 points.  They lost to open last year to Washington out of the PAC 12 by 1 point, and they'll face a Colorado team that is not as good as the Washington team was.  Colorado does have a very good QB, and WR tandem, but they showed an inability to close games last year and quickly ran out of options.  Hawaii's defense should be exciting in the back 7, and the DL will again have depth issues, but this is game 1 and this team really needs a win when you consider they have road games against Ohio State, Wisconsin and Boise following this game. 

Season Awards: The sportscapping network is one of the most competitive network of handicappers with over 90 professional experts.  2009 & 2011 I was the #2 handicapper for the entire year!  I also have had several top 10 finishes including, #1 NCAAF 2009, #1 NCAAF 2011, #2 MLB 2009, #5 NFL 2010, #6 NCAAF 2013, #7 NCAAB 2012, and #10 MLB 2011.   My Promise To You: All of my information is 100% backed by a guarantee and is fully researched and supported by my in depth analysis for your betting confidence. I personally bet these plays too so it is only fair you understand my logic. Who Am I: I have been wagering on sports for more than a decade and I've been doing it professionally for 5 years. In 2008 I started Sports Bet Capping and have been earning my clients an impressive return on investment which is solidified by multiple national handicapping season awards for MLB and College Football. This is something I take very seriously. That is why every single recommendation I make comes with a full in depth analysis for your betting confidence. I want you to know my logic behind ever one of my picks. Best Moments: In 2011 I predicted Iowa State +28.5 over Oklahoma State on a Friday night, but not only did I predict and play the spread I also predicted Iowa State to win the game outright as a 22:1 under dog. Iowa State won in over time to shock the nation and knock Oklahoma State out of the BCS National Championship race. Aside from that I have profited in every single of every sport on my signature play of the day's (POD's). My Motto: "The will to win is nothing without the will to prepare."