John Ryan John Ryan
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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Jun 21, 2017
Red Sox vs Royals
OVER 9½ -110 Won
$100
Play Type: Top Premium

10* graded play ‘OVER’ the posted total in the Boston - Kansas City game set to start at 2:15 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that more than 10 runs will be scored in this game.

Fundamental Matchups and Data Metrics

We did play on KC and starter Ian Kennedy in his last start with great success. Kennedy took a perfect game into the 6th inning. However, he is 1-4 with a 7.75 ERA over his last seven starts and Boston is arguably the best hitting team in the Majors. Boston has had 10 or more hits in four straight games and going against Kennedy lends support that this will be the fifth straight game.

Pomerantz is a solid starter and has averaged a 3.84 ERA over his 7-year career. However, this season he is getting hit more often and allowing more runs posting an ERA of 4.19. Moreover, he has posted a K/9 ratio of 11.8 in his home games and a much lower 8.8 K/9 in road starts this season. This implies more batted balls in play and more hits and scoring opportunities.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following system has gone 45-19 hitting 70% winners and has made 26 units/unit wagered since 2012. Play ‘OVER’ the posted total with AL home teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (KANSAS CITY) and is a poor hitting team batting that is batting .260 or less and with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better on the season and is now facing an opponent with a good starting pitcher posting an ERA of 4.20 or less.

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the ‘OVER’ for this afternoon matchup.

SERVICE BIO

John Ryan has been handicapping baseball, football, and basketball for over 20 years. He has won several National contests and has placed in top-5's in countless others. John's philosophy and goals is based on the long-term, and he has found that over time consistency is what promotes success. The key to utilizing our computer generated algorithms, information and selections are to consistently investing the same amount on each selection. This process will ensure that our bankroll and our clients will maximize their investment return. Moreover, the entire methodology eliminates the human emotion from all selection processes. Our computer systems are based on genetic algorithms and an adaptive-structure Neural Network. In summary, our systems calculate and analyze several hundred thousand pieces of data in combination with one another for each game played. The systems also optimize our combination of rules and utilize "team momentum" much like one would do in the technical analysis of a stock or soybean prices. Much like the commodities markets we have applied a "contrarian view" as one of the rules. For example, if a given trend in any sport is posting a 15-2 ATS, then the model will immediately make note that this trend has matured and that a reversal of this trend is likely. If the computer selects the team that does not support this given trend, the 15-2 trend will actually be supportive of the selection. The relative and key differences in opponents are then presented in the selection write-up. The write-up will state why we have selected a given team and will outline the various statistics and trends supporting that selection. We believe that our information is unique and informative and hopefully as profitable as the previous years have been. The key is giving us an honest try and staying with the methodology. Thank you again for your support and good luck.