Steve Merril Steve Merril
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NCAA-B SUBSCRIPTIONS
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NBA SUBSCRIPTIONS
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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Mar 29, 2015
Gonzaga vs. Duke
Gonzaga
+3-115
  at  BOVADA
Lost
$115.0
Play Type: Premium

Duke is obviously a good team as they come into this game with a 32-4 record.  They won their first two tournament games easily, but they played inferior competition.  In their next game against San Diego State, the Blue Devils faced a very good defense, but an offense that was one of the worst in the entire tournament.  Duke shot 54.5% (30-55) from the field and 42.9% (6-14) from three-point land on a San Diego State defense that only gave up 0.86 points per possession this season.  Duke’s defense had little to do since the Aztecs’ offense was horrendous at 0.98 points per possession this season.  Duke then faced a Utah team that had an elite offense (1.12 points per possession) and defense (0.89 points per possession).  The Blue Devils survived Utah despite shooting just 44.4% (20-45) from the field and 33.3% (3-9) from three-point land.  Now Duke will be taking their third consecutive jump in class, and since Gonzaga is rated higher than Duke in my power ratings, the Blue Devils are a clear play against in this game. 

Gonzaga’s road to the Elite 8 has been an easy one, and they haven’t had to extend themselves.  The Bulldogs have dominated all three of their opponents, so they are still a fresh team late in the tournament.  This year’s Gonzaga team is the best that has played in the tournament, and not one of their paper tiger teams that got knocked out early.  Gonzaga has a terrific +16.9 point differential this season, and that shows how dominant of a team they’ve been.  The Bulldogs’ defense is outstanding as they are holding opponents to just 61.7 points per game on 39.3% shooting from the field and 32.7% shooting from three-point land.  The Gonzaga offense is averaging 78.6 points per game on 51.8% shooting from the field and 40.3% shooting from three-point land.  Gonzaga should be favored in this game, so there’s a lot of value which means we’ll take the points with the Bulldogs in this game on Sunday night.       

9* Play GONZAGA (+).

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Mar 29, 2015
Michigan State vs. Louisville
Michigan State
-2½-105
  at  5DIMES
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

Louisville comes into this game with a 27-8 record, but the Cardinals are certainly a surprise to still be playing.  The Cardinals are a good team, but they are up against it in this game against Michigan State.  Louisville had two easy opponents in UC Irvine and NC State, and they upset Northern Iowa after playing way over their heads on offense.  Louisville’s offense is extremely weak as they only average 1.03 points per possession.  Overall, the Cardinals average 68.9 points per game, but they only shoot 43.1% from the field and 30.6% from three-point land.  Over their last five games, Louisville’s offense has been even worse while averaging just 63.4 points per game.  Louisville imposes their will by playing slow, half-court basketball while trying to wear opponents out with their press.  But their usual edge will be missing in this game as Michigan State is quite content in playing a physical, defensive grinder. 

Michigan State is 7-1 over their last eight games, and they come into this game off three solid tournament wins.  Michigan State is the second best team in the Big 10, and the gap between them and Wisconsin is much closer than people think.  The fact that Michigan State was slated as a #7 seed was a joke.  Michigan State had the best defense in the Big 10 conference based on efficiency metrics, and they have a similar look to the vintage teams coached by Tom Izzo as they are tenacious on the offensive and defensive glass.  Michigan State’s defense is only allowing 63 points per game on 39.4% shooting from the field and 31.5% shooting from three-point land this season.  Michigan State is simply the better team, so we’ll lay the points with the Spartans in this game on Sunday afternoon.        

10* Play MICHIGAN STATE (-).

SERVICE BIO

Steve Merril is considered one of the best sports analysts in the nation. He credits his success to employing a variety of different handicapping techniques such as statistical analysis, trends and systems, and fundamentals such as matchups and emotion. By relying on numerous handicapping methods, Steve continues to beat the pointspread on a consistent basis in both college and pro football, basketball, baseball, and auto racing.

Steve was the first person to ever win the prestigious $100,000 Insiders Handicapping Invitational and his unique knowledge and understanding of the gaming industry is what separates him from other handicappers. Steve has spent the past 15 years studying the odds and probabilities associated with all forms of gambling such as poker, casino games, and even the stock market. Steve has transferred this unique knowledge and understanding of statistics and probabilities into the sports world, which has enabled him to win on a consistent basis.

The most popular part of Steve Merril's award-winning selections is the fact he backs each game with a full detailed report and analysis. You get a strong selection, plus the reason why the play will win. This includes detailed statistical analysis and Steve's powerful team trends and super systems.

You will learn while you earn with Steve Merril's daily selections as each report is packed full of detailed information. Join forces with the most knowledgeable gaming expert in the industry and have your most profitable season ever.