Jimmy Boyd Jimmy Boyd

No. 12 Handicapper 2014! Jimmy is on an Amazing 48-26 (65%) NFL Hot Streak. Don't miss Boyd's 4* NFL Thursday Night Football Vegas Insider!

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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Sep 18, 2014
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres
San Diego Padres
-126
  at  PINNACLE
Won
$100
Play Type: Free

Free Pick on the San Diego Padres -

The Padres are showing great value here as a small home favorite against the Phillies. San Diego had won each of the first two games in the series before getting shutdown by Cole Hamels last night. With Kyle Hendricks taking the mound for Philadelphia in this one, I look for the Padres to bounce back and close out the series with a win. Kendrick is just 3-6 with a 5.11 ERA and 1.309 WHIP over 14 road starts in 2014.

I'll gladly take my chances on Robbie Erlin to out pitch Kendrick and guide San Diego to victory. Erlin has a 3.00 ERA and 1.042 WHIP over 4 home starts and comes in with a strong 2.45 ERA and 1.146 WHIP over his last 3 outings. In his only career start against the Phillies, Erlin held Philadelphia to just 2 earned runs on 4 hits over 6 1/3 innings.

There's a key system backing San Diego, as home teams who are hitting 2.55 or worse as a team after a stretch where they are hitting .225 or worse over their last 15 games are 70-27 over the last 5 seasons against an opposing starter with an ERA of 4.20 to 5.20. That's a 72% system in favor of the Padres. Take San Diego!

Amazing 48-26 (65%) Over Last 74 NFL Selections! Jimmy Boyd is currently the #12 Ranked Handicapper Overall in 2014 and has his $1,000 Players Profiting Over $22,000! Take it from an expert who is on a Massive 125-93 (57%) Football Run! It's time to unload on the books with Boyd's 4* NFL Thursday Night Football Vegas Insider! You will be betting with confidence behind a Dynamite 78% 5-Year System that has already cashed a 4-1 record in 2014! You are GUARANTEED TO WIN or you will receive Friday's football card for FREE!

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Sep 18, 2014
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees
Toronto Blue Jays
+109
  at  5DIMES
Lost
$100.0
Play Type: Premium

3* MLB Oddsmakers Error on Blue Jays +

Toronto is showing great value here as a road underdog against the Yankees. While both of these teams are all but eliminated from making the postseason, it's a little more disappointing for New York, who wanted so desperately to send Derek Jeter out with a trip to the playoffs. I look for the Blue Jays to be the more motivated team in the series opener and more than anything they have the edge on the mound.

R.A. Dickey will start this one for Toronto and he's won each of his last three starts and will be looking to win his 5th straight decision since his Cy Young campaign back in 2012. Dickey has a 2.33 ERA over his last 4 starts, but the real key here is his recent success against the Yankees. He hasn't allowed a run in 15 consecutive innings against New York and has a 2.60 ERA versus the Yankees since 2011. 

New York counters with the slumping Shane Greene, who has a 5.54 ERA and 1.923 WHIP over his last 3 starts. Greene has also had his struggles at home, where he's just 1-3 with a 4.55 ERA and 1.642 WHIP over 6 starts. On top of all that, Greene was hit hard in his only start against the Blue Jays, giving up 3 runs on 8 hits and 2 walks in just 5 1/3 innings of work.

Dickey is 22-12 in his last 34 starts as a road underdog of +100 to +125, 4-0 in his last 4 starts following a quality start and 5-1 in his last 6 starts versus the AL East. New York is 1-4 in their last 5 following a win, 1-4 in their last 5 against a team with a winning record and 0-5 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series. These trends combine to form a 75% (44-15) system in favor of the Blue Jays. Take Toronto!

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Sep 18, 2014
Auburn vs. Kansas State
Kansas State
+9½-110
  at  BOVADA
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

3* Auburn/Kansas State NCAAF Main Event on K-State +

The fact that Auburn has covered 13-straight games dating back to last season is impressive, but it's a streak that is going to come to an end sooner rather than later. There's no question that this line has been inflated by the books and I believe the Tigers luck will have run out in a huge nationally televised game on the road in a weekday game against Kansas State.

Bill Snyder and the Wildcats have a history of not just covering the spread as a home dog, but winning the game outright. Kansas State also has a history of delivering a strong performance against ranked opponents. Only once in the last 3 years have they lost to a ranked opponent by more than 10-points and they have played 11 ranked teams during this stretch. Manhattan will be rocking and that energy inside the stadium is going to have Kansas State playing like this is the Super Bowl.

Last year the Tigers played just 4 true road games and were no where near as impressive as they were at home. They lost at LSU 21-35, barely squeaked by Texas A&M 45-41 and the other two wins came against Arkansas and Tennessee, who went a combined 2-14 in SEC play.

It's also worth noting that this a rare true road game in non-conference play for Auburn and it's not a spot they have performed well in. In each of the previous 5 times they have been in this spot, the Tigers have lost the game outright. Their last win in this situation was back in 1997 on the road against Virginia. I’m not saying Auburn will lose this contest, but this is a pretty good indicator that they won’t be as dominant as some might expect.

We also see a strong system in play on Kansas State, as home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points with an experienced starter back at quarterback in a non-conference game in the first month of the season are 130-71 ATS since 1992. That's a 65% system in favor of the Wildcats. Take Kansas State!

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Sep 18, 2014
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Atlanta Falcons
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
+7-115
  at  BOVADA
Lost
$115.0
Play Type: Premium

4* NFL Thursday Night Football Vegas Insider on Bucs +

I know it's been a tough go of things for the Buccaneers in their first two games. They lost at home to the Panthers 14-20 with Carolina starting backup quarterback Derek Anderson and last week lost a heartbreaker to the Rams and their 3rd string quarterback Austin Davis 17-19. An interesting point to make is that Tampa Bay was favored in both of those games. While they underperformed in that role, I look for them to thrive as an underdog, especially getting a full 7-points.

Atlanta gained a lot of respect back from the public with their 37-34 overtime win at home against the Saints in Week 1. Even though they were dominated by the Bengals 10-24 this past Sunday, the public is more inclined to expect them to bounce back.

There's no question that the Falcons have a potent offense with Matt Ryan throwing to Julio Jones, Roddy White and Harry Douglas, but I still have major concerns with their defense. Atlanta has allowed 51 points and 944 yards of total offense in their first two games.

Tampa Bay's offense has yet to get on track and it's like a big reason the public is on the Falcons. However, you have to take note of who the Bucs have played. They have went up against two of the better front sevens in the league in Carolina and St Louis and yet they still come in ranked 11th in rushing at 129.5 ypg. This is a prime spot for Tampa Bay's offense to breakout against Atlanta's soft defensive unit.

There's also a big time system backing a play on the Bucs in this one, as underdogs in conference games who only won 25% to 40% of their games the previous season are 35-10 ATS over the last 5 years (already 4-1 this season). That's a 78% system in favor of the Buccaneers. Take Tampa Bay!

PREMIUM PICK STREAKS

Basketball Picks (+11827)  1548-1323  L2871 54%

NBA Picks (+7151)  846-717  L1563 54%

NCAA-B Sides (+5047)  612-519  L1131 54%

All Sports Picks (+3850)  867-788  L1655 52%

Football Picks (+2429)  126-94  L220 57%

NCAA-F Picks (+2116)  174-141  L315 55%

NFL Sides (+1896)  48-27  L75 64%

MLB Run Lines (+823)  61-51  L112 54%

SERVICE BIO

Boyd is a former collegiate golfer and University of Iowa Law grad that ensures you success in every sport he covers. Jimmy's quality sports selections with game-breaking analysis make him a major force in the handicapping industry for years to come. Here are a few of his top plays:

No Brainer: This is one of Jimmy’s highest rated plays. After reading his write-up on the game you will see why this play’s title is so fitting. These picks are reserved for major mismatch advantages and strong value plays.

Heavy Hitter: Jimmy’s Heavy Hitter plays are backed by a wealth of statistical analysis and fit into one or more of his many winning systems. This is the well-rounded gem of Jimmy’s top plays, and it covers games from every angle.

Vegas Insider: Nobody spots a winning system like Jimmy Boyd. His Vegas Insider label is reserved for plays backed by the strongest systems and trends on the board.

Bailout Blowout: There is no better way to end the day than picking up a big win on the final game of the evening. Jimmy’s Bailout Blowouts come on late games and they have built a strong reputation as being a consistent winner.

All of Jimmy’s picks get monitored around the web. Jimmy is one of the very few handicappers that have actually earned the stripes to be regarded as a top Industry player. There are not many handicappers in the industry that can match his long term success rates. Take a look at some of his prior accomplishments:

#1 – 2007 MLB #1 – 2008-09 BASKETBALL #2 – 2008-09 CBB #3 – 2008-09 NBA #4 -- 2013-14 CBB #6 – 2011-12 NBA  #7 – 2009 ALL SPORTS #9 – 2009-10 NBA #10 – 2011 MLB #10 – 2011-12 BASKETBALL #10 – 2010-11 NBA #10 – 2012-13 CBB