Jimmy Boyd Jimmy Boyd
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Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Jul 01, 2015
Pittsburgh Pirates vs Detroit Tigers
Detroit Tigers
-112 at BMaker
Play Type: Free

Free Pick on Tigers -

Detroit is showing some great value here as a small home favorite against the Tigers. While they lost 4-5 in yesterday's series opener against the Pirates, it was just their 3rd loss in their last 8 games. Detroit hasn't dropped 2 straight at home since their ugly 8-game losing streak that spanned the end of May and early June.

The Pirates will be sending out 38-year-old veteran A.J. Burnett, who was nothing short of spectacular in his first 13 starts, posting a 1.89 ERA. However, Burnett has lost his touch of late. He gave up 14 hits in 6 2/3 innings of a 1-4 loss at Washington and 8 hits hits in 6 innings of a 4-5 defeat at home against the Reds. 

I think the struggles are going to continue for Burnett against this strong lineup from Detroit, while the Pirates offense struggles to get going against Alfredo Simon, who is 4-1 with a 2.33 ERA and 1.058 WHIP over 7 home starts. Simon also owns a 3-1 record with a 3.27 ERA and 0.970 WHIP in 5 career starts against the Tigers.

Burnett is just 4-17 in his last 21 road starts in the 2nd half of the season, while the Tigers are 13-2 in their last 15 after a game where they had 17 or more hits. Take Detroit!

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Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Jul 01, 2015
Seattle Mariners vs San Diego Padres
Seattle Mariners
-101 at 5Dimes
Play Type: Premium

3* MLB Afternoon Oddsmakers Error on Mariners -

The Mariners have been a major disappointment so far this season, but are coming off a 5-0 win in the series opener against the Padres and showing some great value in game 2. San Diego is just 18-21 at home, while Seattle has been a much better team on the road than at home.

I really like the pitching matchup here. The Mariners' Taijuan Walker is extremely undervalued right now, largely due to his awful start that saw him go 1-5 with a 7.33 ERA in his first 9 starts. Since that he's been outstanding, going 5-1 with a 1.91 ERA in his last 6 outings. The most impressive thing has been his ability to find his control. After walking 23 batters in his first 9 starts, he has given up just 3 free passes in his last 6 (0 in his last 3).

San Diego does send out their ace James Shields, but he's not looked good at all in his last two starts. Shields allowed 4 runs on 8 hits in 6 innings of a 2-4 loss at Arizona and followed that up in his last outing by allowing 7 runs on 9 hits in just 4 innings of work. It's also worth noting that Shields has an ugly 5.35 ERA in 6 road starts this season. Take Seattle!

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Jul 01, 2015
Chicago Cubs vs New York Mets
Chicago Cubs
-122 at pinnacle
Play Type: Top Premium

5* Cubs/Mets MLB Vegas Insider on Cubs -

I like the Cubs a lot in this spot. Chicago was able to snap a 5-game losing streak with a 1-0 win over the Mets on Tuesday to pull an even .500 on the road this season. The Mets on the other hand had their 4-game losing streak snapped, as their offense continues to struggle.

New York's lackluster offense is a big reason why I like the Cubs in this one. Chicago will send out Jon Lester, who even after a not so great outing at home against the Dodgers in his last start, is trending in the right direction with a 3.12 ERA and 1.096 WHIP over his last 3 outings.

The same can't be said for veteran Bartolo Colon, who has been on a downward spiral. Colon has a 6.50 ERA over his last 8 starts. The Cubs are due for an offensive explosion, but likely only need 3-4 runs here to get a W with the way the Mets are struggling to score.

Home teams who have allowed 4 runs or less in 5 straight games against opponent after scoring 4 runs or less 6 straight games are a mere 37-59 over the last 5 seasons. That's a 62% long-term system in favor of the Cubs. Take Chicago!

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Jul 01, 2015
San Francisco Giants vs Miami Marlins
San Francisco Giants
-122 at betonline
Play Type: Premium

4* Giants/Marlins MLB Heavy Hitter on Giants -

San Francisco fell 3-5 to the Marlins in yesterday's series opener, which I believe has opened the door for a great price to back them today. The Giants haven't lost consecutive road games against the same team in the same series since dropping 2 straight at Colorado back in late May and it's only happened twice all season.

The Marlins chances of piling together wins are bleak without Stanton and even with yesterday's win they are a mere 3-9 in their last 12. I'll gladly take my chances here with San Francisco's Chris Heston against Dan Haren. Heston has been getting mad run support on the road (6-1 record in 7 starts) and Haren has a history of falling off in the 2nd half (4.42 ERA last 3).

Giants are 17-4 in their last 21 during game 2 of a series, 12-4 in their last 16 road games with a total set at 7 to 8.5 runs and 5-0 in Heston's last 5 road starts. Take San Francisco!

Boyd is a former collegiate golfer and University of Iowa Law grad that ensures you success in every sport he covers. Jimmy's quality sports selections with game-breaking analysis make him a major force in the handicapping industry for years to come. Here are a few of his top plays: No Brainer: This is one of Jimmy’s highest rated plays. After reading his write-up on the game you will see why this play’s title is so fitting. These picks are reserved for major mismatch advantages and strong value plays. Heavy Hitter: Jimmy’s Heavy Hitter plays are backed by a wealth of statistical analysis and fit into one or more of his many winning systems. This is the well-rounded gem of Jimmy’s top plays, and it covers games from every angle. Vegas Insider: Nobody spots a winning system like Jimmy Boyd. His Vegas Insider label is reserved for plays backed by the strongest systems and trends on the board. Bailout Blowout: There is no better way to end the day than picking up a big win on the final game of the evening. Jimmy’s Bailout Blowouts come on late games and they have built a strong reputation as being a consistent winner. All of Jimmy’s picks get monitored around the web. Jimmy is one of the very few handicappers that have actually earned the stripes to be regarded as a top Industry player. There are not many handicappers in the industry that can match his long term success rates. Take a look at some of his prior accomplishments: #1 – 2007 MLB #1 – 2008-09 BASKETBALL #2 – 2008-09 CBB #3 – 2008-09 NBA #4 -- 2013-14 CBB #6 – 2011-12 NBA  #7 – 2009 ALL SPORTS #9 – 2009-10 NBA #10 – 2011 MLB #10 – 2011-12 BASKETBALL #10 – 2010-11 NBA #10 – 2012-13 CBB