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FREE PICKS
Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Jan 27, 2015
Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Detroit Pistons
Cleveland Cavaliers
-7½-110
  at  BMAKER
started

Jack's Free Pick Tuesday: Cleveland Cavaliers -7.5

The Cleveland Cavaliers are starting to play like everyone expected them to coming into the season.  A big reason for their struggles in the first half were injuries to Lebron James.  Well, since James has returned, the Cavs have been unstoppable.

Cleveland is 6-0 SU & 6-0 ATS in its last six games overall.  It has won each of its last four games by double-digits, including wins over the Bulls (108-94) and Thunder (108-98).  Another reason for this team's recent resurgence has been the additions of Timofey Mozgov and J.R. Smith. 

The Detroit Pistons were one of the best teams in the NBA over the past month.  They had won 12 of 15 games before suffering losses in each of their last two to Milwaukee and Toronto.  Brandon Jennings had been playing some of the best basketball of his career during the 12 of 15 stretch.

Unfortunately for the Pistons. Jennings suffered a season-ending Achilles injury a couple games back. They lost to the Bucks and Raptors without him, and they are going to continue to struggle without their starting PG going forward.  He was averaging 15.4 points and 6.6 assists on the season.

The Cavaliers have scored at least 100 points in seven straight games since James returned.  They have averaged 112.3 points per game since James' return.  That's bad news for the Pistons, who have given up an average of 111.0 points per game int heir last three.

Detroit is 17-36 ATS in its last 53 home games.  The Pistons are 5-18 ATS in their last 23 home games when playing against a team with a winning record.  The Cavaliers are 6-0 ATS in their last six games overall.  Detroit is 0-5 ATS in its last five after scoring 100 points or more in its previous game.  The road team is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings.  Cleveland is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 visits to Detroit.  Bet the Cavaliers Tuesday.

No. 1 Ranked Basketball Handicapper from 2012-13! Jack Jones has put together an UNMATCHED 973-785 Hoops Run long-term that has seen his $1,000/game players cash in $131,390! He delivered a 3-1 Monday that should have been 4-0 as Iowa State (-4.5) blew a 21-point second-half lead and only won by 3 after a tip-in at the buzzer by Texas! Jack goes for the SWEEP tonight with his Tuesday Hoops 3-Pack for $49.95! This card features 1 NBA & 2 CBB winners led by his ONE & ONLY 25* NBA Non-Conference GAME OF THE YEAR! This play alone makes this 3-Pack worth the price of admission! You're GUARANTEED PROFITS or Wednesday's entire card is ON JACK!

YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Jan 26, 2015
Philadelphia 76ers vs. New Orleans Pelicans
Philadelphia 76ers
+15-103
  at  PINNACLE
Lost
$103.0
Play Type: Free

Jack's Free Pick Monday: Philadelphia 76ers +15

The New Orleans Pelicans are in a very tough spot physically and emotionally tonight.  They are coming off a huge 109-106 upset home victory over the Dallas Mavericks Sunday, which sets them up for a letdown spot here against the Philadelphia 76ers.

The Pelicans are a tired team right now as they will be playing the second of a back-to-back and their 6th game in 9 days, which is about as tough a situation as there is in the NBA.  Making matters worse is the fact that they are short-handed right now playing without their starting PG Jrue Holiday (15.2 ppg, 7.1 apg).

The Pelicans will not be motivated enough, or have the energy to beat the lowly 76ers by 16-plus points, which is what it would take to cover this massive 15-point spread.  The 76ers come in on one days' rest following their 83-101 loss as 17.5-point dogs at Memphis on Saturday, which was a tough spot for them.  They were playing the second of a back-to-back after narrowly losing to Toronto 86-91 as 13-point dogs on Friday.

One of Philadelphia's eight wins this season came against New Orleans back on January 16th.  It came into that game as 7-point home underdogs and ran away with a 96-81 victory.  The 76ers limited the Pelicans to just 38.7% shooting while forcing 18 turnovers in that contest.  They are more than capable of pulling off the upset again given the tough spot for New Orleans, but staying within 15 points is almost a given.

Plays against favorites of 10 or more points (NEW ORLEANS) - after a home game where both teams score 100 or more points, tired team - playing 8 or more games in 14 days are 74-34 (68.5%) ATS since 1996.  New Orleans is 0-8 ATS off an upset win as an underdog this season, coming back to lose by an average of 15.1 points per game.  Bet the 76ers Monday.

No. 1 Ranked Basketball Handicapper from 2012-13! Jack Jones also finished as your No. 2 Overall Capper in 2014! He is the best basketball capper in the business as he has put together an UNMATCHED 970-784 Hoops Run long-term that has seen his $1,000/game players cash in $129,440! Crush your book on the hardwood tonight by signing up for Jack's Monday Hoops 4-Pack for $49.95! He has pinpointed 2 NBA & 2 CBB winners with TWO 20* Top Plays as well! Leading the charge are his 20* NBA DOG OF THE WEEK along with his 20* Texas/Iowa State Big 12 GAME OF THE WEEK! As always, you are GUARANTEED PROFITS or Tuesday's entire card is ON JACK!

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Jan 26, 2015
Syracuse vs. North Carolina
Syracuse
+10½-102
  at  5DIMES
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

15* Syracuse/North Carolina ESPN Monday No-Brainer on Syracuse +10.5

The Syracuse Orange (14-6) clearly aren't as good as they have been in year's past.  However, they are plenty good enough to stay within 10 points of the North Carolina Tar Heels (16-4) tonight.

The Orange have failed to cover the spread in four straight and six of their last seven coming in.  When teams go on poor ATS runs like this, there's a good chance they will be showing value in their next game, and I certainly believe that's the case tonight.

North Carolina has won five straight and 10 of its last 11 coming in.  The betting public has taken notice and has been quick to back the Tar Heels, who have always been a public team.  Well, four of their last six games have been decided by 4 points or less, so it's not like they are blowing out the opposition with regularity like this spread would suggest.

I really like this matchup for Syracuse.  The Orange run Jim Boeheim's patented zone defense that forces opponents to make the 3-pointer with consistency to beat them.  They only allow 29.2% shooting from 3-point range this season, and 37.8% overall.  Well, the Tar Heels are not a good 3-point shooting team.  They only make 31.8% of their attempts from distance, including 28.4% at home.

Syracuse has won each of its last four meetings with North Carolina.  That includes a 57-45 home victory last January in which both teams combined to shoot 36.9% from the field and 6 of 31 from 3-point range.  The Tar Heels only went 2-of-12 (16.7%) from distance in the loss.  I look for another ugly, low-scoring game in this one, which clearly favors the double-digit underdog Orange.

North Carolina is 0-6 ATS after having won 12 o more of its last 15 games over the past two seasons.  Syracuse is 9-2 ATS vs. top caliber teams that outscore their opponents by 12-plus points per game over the last two seasons.  The Tar Heels are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.  UNC is 2-10 ATS in its last 12 vs. ACC opponents.  The Tar Heels are 0-4 ATS in their last four home games.  Bet Syracuse Monday.

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Jan 26, 2015
Texas vs. Iowa State
Iowa State
-4½-105
  at  BMAKER
Lost
$105.0
Play Type: Top Premium

20* Texas/Iowa State Big 12 GAME OF THE WEEK on Iowa State -4.5

The Iowa State Cyclones are coming off an embarrassing 78-73 road loss to the Texas Tech Red Raiders, who were previously winless in Big 12 play.  It's safe to say that the Cyclones won't be lacking any motivation as they return home Monday to take on the Texas Longhorns.

Iowa State has been plagued by slow starts, averaging 33.7 points in the first of of the past six games compared to 42.3 in the last 20 minutes.  They scored 48 over the final 20 minutes in their loss to the Red Raiders, but were down 19 after the first 20 minutes and simply couldn't overcome it.  Look for them to get off to a fast start tonight and never let up.

"We've somehow got to find a way to get off to a (good) start and at least give ourselves a chance," head coach Fred Hoiberg said. "It's unacceptable. I wish I could tell you why exactly it happened. We'll figure it out."

The ninth-ranked Cyclones will be going for their 18th consecutive home victory.  They have scored an average of 82.6 points per game on 49.9% shooting while winning each of their last 17 at Hilton Coliseum.  They have also taken their last five home games against ranked opponents.

One of those victories came last season at home against Texas in an 85-76 victory.  Iowa State has won three the past three meetings in Ames by 9, 20 and 6 points.  The home team has won each of the last seven meetings in this series, so clearly home-court advantage has been huge.

Texas is just about as inconsistent as they come.  The Longhorns are just 3-3 in Big 12 play with ugly home losses to Oklahoma (49-70) and Kansas (62-75), as well as a double-digit road loss to Oklahoma State (58-69).  PG Isaiah Taylor is their best player, but he's going to be up against one of the top defenders in the country in Monte Morris tonight, who will shut him down.

Iowa State is 8-1 ATS as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points over the last three seasons, winning by an average of 10.4 points per game in this spot.  The Cyclones are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.  Iowa State is 18-8 ATS in its last 26 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.  The Longhorns are 1-4 ATS in their last five trips to Ames.  The home team is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings.  Roll with Iowa State Monday.

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Jan 26, 2015
Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Oklahoma City Thunder
Minnesota Timberwolves
+16-115
  at  BMAKER
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

15* NBA Monday Night Line Mistake on Minnesota Timberwolves +16

The Minnesota Timberwolves (7-36) are showing tremendous value tonight as 16-point road underdogs to the Oklahoma City Thunder.  I'll gladly take advantage and back them as massive dogs to an Oklahoma City team that just isn't quite right.

The Timberwolves are 4-1 ATS in their last five road games as they have been very competitive against some quality teams.  They beat Indiana 110-101 as 11-point road dogs to start the streak.  They also lost at Phoenix 99-110 as 14-point road dogs, beat Denver 113-105 as 11.5-point road dogs, and lost to Atlanta 100-112 as 17.5-point road dogs.

Oklahoma City is coming off back-to-back blowout losses at Atlanta (93-103) as 4-point dogs and at Cleveland (98-108) as 3-point dogs.  Now, the Thunder will be playing the second of a back-to-back and their 5th game in 7 days.  This is about as tough of a situation as it gets.  After a five-game road trip, they will struggle in their first game back homel, which is also a difficult spot in the NBA.

Minnesota has played Oklahoma City pretty tough here of late.  It has only lost by more than 10 points once in its last six meetings with the Thunder.  The Timberwolves are 5-0 ATS in their last five road games vs. a team with a winning home record.  The Thunder are 1-6 ATS in their last seven vs. Western Conference foes.  OKC is 0-6 ATS in its last six Monday games.  Take the Timberwolves Monday.

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Jan 26, 2015
Orlando Magic vs. Memphis Grizzlies
Orlando Magic
+12½-105
  at  PINNACLE
Won
$100
Play Type: Top Premium

20* NBA DOG OF THE WEEK on Orlando Magic +12.5

The Orlando Magic (15-32) have gone 0-5 SU & 0-5 ATS in their last five games overall.  Whenever a team gets on an ATS losing streak like the one the Magic are on, the betting public tends to look to fade them.  As a result, teams like this start to show some pretty good value against the spread.

I believe that's the case here with the Magic, who have lost four of their last five games by 10 points or less, so they have at least been competitive.  One of those losses was a 96-106 home loss to Memphis on January 16th just 10 days ago.  Look for the Magic to be out for revenge in the rematch here.

The Memphis Grizzlies have won six of their last seven games overall while going 5-1-1 ATS.  The betting public has taken notice and has been quick to back them.  Well, only one of those six wins during this stretch came by more than 12 points.  That was a 101-83 home victory over the lowly Philadelphia 76ers as 17.5-point favorites last time out.

Orlando has played Memphis very tough in recent meetings.  In fact, Orlando has only lost once to Memphis by more than 12 points in the last 16 meetings in this series.  That makes for a 15-1 system backing the Magic pertaining to tonight's 12.5-point spread.

Memphis is 14-30 ATS in its last 44 games as a favorite of 10 or more points.  The Magic are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.  Orlando is 17-8 ATS as a road underdog this season.  The Grizzlies are 5-15-2 ATS in their last 22 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.  The road team is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings.  Bet the Magic Monday.

PICKS IN PROGRESS
Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Jan 27, 2015
Xavier vs. Georgetown
Georgetown
-4½-110
  
Play Type: Premium

15* CBB Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on Georgetown -4.5

The Georgetown Hoyas are back.  They are one of the best teams in the Big East at 14-5 this season and 6-2 within the conference.  They come in playing some of their best basketball of the year as well.

The Hoyas have won four straight coming in.  That includes a 78-58 home victory over highly-ranked Villanova, handing the Wildcats their worst loss of the year.  They were in a clear letdown spot on Saturday following that win, but managed to gut out a 95-85 (OT) win at Marquette.  The Hoyas have shot 50% or better in three of their last four games.

Xavier (13-7) continues to get too much respect from oddsmakers tonight despite going 2-3 SU & 0-5 ATS in its last five games overall.  That includes blowout road losses to Butler (76-88) and Villanova (75-88).  Its only wins during this stretch came at home against Marquette (62-58) as 9.5-point favorites, and DePaul (89-76) as 14-point favorites.

Georgetown is 10-1 at home this season where it is outscoring opponents by an average of 13.7 points per game.  Xavier is just 1-5 in true road games this year.  Its lone road win came at SEC bottom feeder Missouri.  It has also lost to the likes of Auburn, DePaul and Providence on the road this season.

Yes, Xavier handed Georgetown its worst loss of the season in a 70-53 home victory for the Musketeers in the Big East opener on December 31st.  However, I believe that result will work in our favor here.  The Hoyas will be highly motivated for revenge, and they'll be playing with a chip on their shoulder in this one.

Home-court advantage has been huge in this series as the home team is 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in the last three meetings with blowout wins by 17, 22 and 13 points dating back to last year.  After losing at Xavier by 13 points in their first meeting of 2013-14, the Hoyas got revenge in a 22-point blowout at home in their second meeting.  I look for a repeat of last year.

The Hoyas are 10-2 ATS revenging a road loss against an opponent over the last three seasons.  Georgetown is 12-3 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15-plus games over the last three seasons.  Xavier is 0-7 ATS after two straight games with 9 or less offensive rebounds this season.  The Musketeers are 0-5 ATS in their last five road games.  Xavier is 0-4 ATS in its last four games vs. a team with a winning percentage above .600.  These last three trends combine for a 16-0 system backing the Hoyas.  Take Georgetown Tuesday.

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