NFL Picks

March Madness Betting Picks 2010

Trev Rogers — Tue, 16 Mar 2010 16:45:49 +0000

March Madness Picks

Let the average guy in the office think he is on top of the world by winning a $50 NCAA Tournament Picks office pool. We all know the real men are making tons of cash by betting on March Madness with our NCAA Tournament Upset Picks that are available right now from some of the top college basketball handicappers in Las Vegas.

Here is a look at the best College Basketball Handicappers over the last 30 days:

TOP COLLEGE BASKETBALL CAPPERS PAST 30 DAYS
Service	Units	ROI	Pct	WL
Kyle Hunter	+1672.0	+9.9%	57.6%	87-64
Black Widow	+1055.0	+23.0%	64.3%	27-15
Rocky Atkinson	+1040.0	+41.1%	73.9%	17-6
Jim Feist	+988.0	+16.1%	60.7%	34-22
Dave Price	+920.0	+30.0%	67.9%	19-9
Jimmy Boyd	+842.0	+17.9%	61.9%	26-16
Dennis Macklin	+815.0	+9.8%	57.5%	42-31
Jeff Alexander	+812.0	+25.6%	65.5%	19-10
Pure Lock	+550.0	+31.2%	68.8%	11-5
Carlo Campanella	+540.0	+27.6%	66.7%	12-6

Also, make sure to check out out free march madness picks that will be posted everyday of the 2010 NCAA Tournament on our free sports picks page.

Once, you have your March Madness picks in hand, check out the live March Madness Odds over at BetUs.com where they have a $5 Million Bracket Contest!

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College Basketball Picks: South Carolina vs. Kentucky Thursday Night

Trev Rogers — Thu, 25 Feb 2010 14:48:14 +0000

Expert Basketball Picks

Wow, Kentucky is favored by 16 points over South Carolina? Well I guess Kentucky is just going to wipe the floor with the Gamecocks tonight since they are responsible for their only loss this season right…… Not so fast my friend!

One of the greatest things about college basketball betting is that we are dealing with kids. And these kids like to look ahead to bigger and better things, like a nationally televised matchup against Tennessee this weekend. Listen, Kentucky will win tonight, but I like South Carolina plus the points.

BTW, my clients continue to clean up with my college basketball picks after a 3-1-1 Wednesday night moves my run to 12-3-1 and 28-16-1 L45 65%! Thursday night NCAA basketball picks will be ready at 4pmEST.

Current streak:

South Carolina has lost 3 straight games.

Kentucky has won 7 straight games.

Team records:

South Carolina: 14-12 SU, 9-14 ATS

Kentucky: 26-1 SU, 14-11 ATS

South Carolina most recently:

When playing on Thursday are 6-4

Before playing Mississippi State are 6-4

After playing Tennessee are 7-3

After a loss are 5-5

Kentucky most recently:

When playing on Thursday are 6-4

Before playing Tennessee are 3-7

After playing Vanderbilt are 7-3

After a win are 9-1

A few trends to consider:

The total has gone OVER in 7 of South Carolina’s last 8 games when playing on the road against Kentucky

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of South Carolina’s last 6 games on the road

South Carolina is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Kentucky

The total has gone OVER in 13 of South Carolina’s last 16 games when playing Kentucky

Kentucky is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Kentucky is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

The total has gone OVER in 7 of Kentucky’s last 8 games when playing at home against South Carolina

Kentucky is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games when playing at home against South Carolina

Next up:

South Carolina home to Mississippi State, Saturday, February 27

Kentucky at Tennessee, Saturday, February 27

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Free College Basketball Pick: Tennessee vs. Florida Tuesday Night

Trev Rogers — Tue, 23 Feb 2010 16:25:24 +0000

My premium basketball picks clients enjoyed another winner Monday night with Elon +5 points over Appalachian State in Small School “VEGAS MISTAKE GOY” selection!!!

That winners brings my college basketball picks run to 6-0 over the past 4 days and 22-13 (65%) over the past 3 weeks!

Tennessee vs. Florida Tuesday Night Free Pick:

Talk about a “revenge” situation!!! The Tennessee Vols have won 6 straight over Florida and covered 5 of the 6 ATS. Florida absolutely has to win this game, as they have Georgia, Vandy and Kentucky remaining on their regular season schedule. Vegas and the offshore books installed Florida as a 2 point favorite for a reason tonight folks. Bet the Gators!

Current streaks for each team:

Tennessee has won 2 straight games.

Florida has won 2 straight games.

Team records:

Tennessee: 20-6 SU, 10-12-1 ATS

Florida: 19-8 SU, 12-10 ATS

Tennessee most recently:

When playing on Tuesday are 7-3

Before playing Kentucky are 5-5

After playing South Carolina are 6-4

After a win are 8-2

Florida most recently:

When playing on Tuesday are 7-3

Before playing Georgia are 7-3

After playing Mississippi are 8-2

After a win are 7-3

A few basketball betting trends to consider:

Tennessee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Florida

The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Tennessee’s last 7 games

Tennessee is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Florida

Tennessee is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Florida

Florida is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

Florida is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games

The total has gone OVER in 5 of Florida’s last 7 games when playing at home against Tennessee

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Florida’s last 6 games at home

Next up:

Tennessee home to Kentucky, Saturday, February 27

Florida at Georgia, Saturday, February 27

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College Basketball Picks: William & Mary vs. Iona Friday Night

Trev Rogers — Fri, 19 Feb 2010 19:43:15 +0000

Basketball Picks

See Expert Basketball Picks for Today

The greatest thing about the creation of Bracket Buster weekend a few years back was that the country is able to see some of the best mid major basketball teams in the country long before the NCAA Tournament. Friday night provides exactly that scenario as William & Mary (19-7) takes on Iona (19-8) at 9pm(est).

Online Sportsbooks currently have Iona listed as a 4 point favorites over William & Mary, while the game’s over-under is 122 points.

Team Records Overall & ATS:

William & Mary: 19-7 SU, 13-8-1 ATS

Iona: 19-8 SU, 10-11 ATS

William & Mary Betting Stats Recently:

When playing on Friday are 5-5

Before playing Towson State are 2-8

After playing George Mason are 3-7

After a win are 7-3

Iona Betting Stats Recently:

When playing on Friday are 6-4

Before playing Fairfield are 6-4

After playing Loyola are 3-7

After a win are 7-3

A few betting trends to consider:

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of William & Mary’s last 5 games on the road

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of William & Mary’s last 5 games

William & Mary is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

William & Mary is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games on the road

Iona is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home

Iona is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games

The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Iona’s last 12 games

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Iona’s last 7 games at home

Next up for both teams:

William & Mary home to Towson State, Wednesday, February 24

Iona at Fairfield, Friday, February 26

William & Mary vs. Iona Free Pick:

William & Mary +4 points

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Free College Basketball Picks: Syracuse vs. Georgetown Wednesday Night

Trev Rogers — Thu, 18 Feb 2010 20:09:16 +0000

Free Basketball Picks

See Expert College Picks for Tonight

The Syracuse Orangemen and the Georgetown Hoyas will give the Big East conference yet another marquee TV matchup Thursday night on ESPN at 7pm(est).

Online Sportsbooks currently have the Hoyas listed as -1.5 point favorites versus the Orange, while the game’s over-under is curretly at 146.

Both teams come into tonight’s game suffering a loss in their previous game. Syracuse lost to Louisville 66-60 as a 7 point favorite on Sunday. Georgetown was upset at Rutgers 71-68 as an 11-point road chalk on Sunday.

Syracuse vs. Georgetown Free Basketball Pick for Thursday Night:

I am a big believer in “set up” games. What do I mean by “set up” game? This is when the betting public is fooled by the previous performance. The example here is Georgetown losing at Rutgers last Sunday. That loss has the public on Syracuse tonight getting +1.5 points. Georgetown has lost their last 2 meetings with Syracuse, and I do not see it a third loss in a row happening tonight. Take the Hoyas -1.5 points!

Team records:

Syracuse: 24-2 SU, 14-7 ATS

Georgetown: 18-6 SU, 11-9 ATS

Syracuse most recently:

When playing on Thursday are 7-3

Before playing Providence are 7-3

After playing Louisville are 3-4

After a loss are 7-3

Georgetown most recently:

When playing on Thursday are 5-5

Before playing Louisville are 5-1

After playing Rutgers are 6-4

After a loss are 8-2

A few betting trends to consider:

Syracuse is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Syracuse’s last 5 games

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Syracuse’s last 5 games on the road

Syracuse is 23-2 SU in its last 25 games

The total has gone OVER in 5 of Georgetown’s last 5 games at home

Georgetown is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home

Georgetown is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Georgetown’s last 5 games when playing at home against Syracuse

Next up for each team:

Syracuse at Providence, Tuesday, February 23

Georgetown at Louisville, Tuesday, February 23

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Free College Basketball Picks: Maryland vs. NC State Wednesday Night

Trev Rogers — Wed, 17 Feb 2010 18:19:58 +0000

My clients cashed in again Tuesday night with William & Mary +2.5 points winning outright as George Mason. That brings my recent college basketball picks run to 9-4 over the last 13 selections.

As always, you could find Trev Rogers Picks on my individual sports handicapper page with in the TrevRogers.com Sports Picks Network.

Free College Basketball Pick for Wednesday February 17, 2010:

Tonight’s free college basketball pick is on the North Carolina State +5 points over Maryland. My premium college basketball pick clients enjoyed an easy win 2 nights back as Maryland destroyed Virginia. Any one who follows me knows I love to bet “revenge” situations in college basketball and football. How does this sound for revenge? Maryland has won 7 straight against NC State and covered the spread in 6 of the 7 wins. That betting trend ends tonight as I expect NC State to keep this game very close, and may even win outright!

See all Vegas Expert College Basketball Picks for tonight from the best basketball handicappers on the planet!

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Expert Basketball Picks: Top Vegas Handicappers In College Basketball

Trev Rogers — Tue, 09 Feb 2010 00:41:44 +0000

See Expert Basketball Picks - Handicapper Rankings

The NFL betting season is great and all, but a lot of sports bettors miss plenty of money making opportunities in college basketball due to the length of the NFL season. With 2010 March Madness betting right around the corner, now is the time to focus the best basketball handicappers here at TrevRogers.com by taking a quick glance the basketball handicappers leader-board.

BEST NCAA BASKETBALL CAPPERS PAST 30 DAYS
Service	Units	ROI	Pct	WL
Matt Fargo	+1313.0	+19.3%	62.3%	38-23
Wunderdog	+829.0	+9.1%	54.4%	43-36
Steve Merril	+750.0	+13.4%	58.8%	30-21
Dennis Macklin	+695.0	+9.7%	57.1%	36-27
Mr. East	+657.0	+6.5%	55.6%	50-40
Tom Freese	+624.0	+17.6%	61.3%	19-12
Rocky Atkinson	+567.0	+10.7%	57.8%	26-19
Info Plays	+548.0	+7.0%	55.7%	39-31
Steve Janus	+514.0	+16.5%	60.7%	17-11
John Ryan	+450.0	+9.3%	56.8%	25-19

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Super Bowl Picks: Colts-Saints Vegas Handicapper Predictions

Trev Rogers — Wed, 27 Jan 2010 20:36:01 +0000

See Our Expert Super Bowl Predictions - Live Super Bowl Odds & Props

Before you place your bets for the 2010 Super Bowl between the Indianapolis Colts vs. New Orleans Saints, please review our football handicapper rankings below and on the sports handicapper leader-boards.

Every sports handicapper on the planet will be claiming to have inside information or some million dollar game of the year selection. Just take a glance at the rankings below. Each handicapper has every single one of their selections monitored and documented, so you are guaranteed to be investing with an honest business.

Some of the most difficult games to handicap in the NFL season have taken place over the past 60 days. The clients for these handicappers enjoyed nothing but success. The top 4 cappers on the TrevRogers.com Sports Picks Network are listed at the magical 60% winning percentage over the past 2 months. Go with proven winners when you decide to make bet on the Super Bowl!

See all available Super Bowl Picks today!

TOP FOOTBALL HANDICAPPERS PAST 60 DAYS
Service	Units	ROI	Pct	WL
Wunderdog	+2079.0	+20.8%	59.8%	55-37
John Ryan	+1625.0	+18.2%	62.0%	49-30
Rob Vinciletti	+1348.0	+23.4%	64.7%	33-18
Trev Rogers	+1163.3	+15.9%	60.9%	39-25
Jack Jones	+759.0	+9.5%	57.4%	39-29
Tony Karpinski	+602.0	+6.5%	55.6%	45-36
Jeff Hochman	+526.0	+10.0%	57.4%	27-20
Sal Michaels	+491.0	+14.1%	59.4%	19-13
Jamie Tursini	+438.0	+8.4%	56.5%	26-20
John Anthony	+365.0	+24.0%	64.3%	9-5

The 2010 Super Bowl 44 matchup is set, with the Indianapolis Colts and New Orleans Saints getting two weeks to prepare for their showdown in Miami. Oddsmakers at Sportsbook.com have already weighed in on their thoughts, installing the Colts as 4 point opening line favorites. That number has since moved to 5.5-points, with Indy getting about 54% of the action according to Super Bowl Betting Trends. Read on for a quick look at the backdrop surrounding Super Bowl XLIV and stick with Sportsbook.com from now till kickoff of the big game for more great coverage.

Peyton Manning survived an early knockout attempt by the Jets, guided the third-biggest comeback in AFC Championship Game history—11 points—and shredded Gang Green’s No. 1-ranked defense in the process. The NFL’s regular season Most Valuable Player threw for 377 yards and three touchdowns in a 30-17 victory that ended far better than it started.

The Colts scored the game’s final 24 points and routinely made big plays against a New York defense that rarely allowed them through its first 18 games. Manning completed five throws of at least 20 yards and turned the tide with a four-play, 80-yard drive late in the second quarter that cut the 11-point deficit to just 17-13 at halftime. Head coach Rex Ryan’s team never recovered.

New Orleans proved to be equally resilient despite being dominated in almost every aspect of last Sunday’s NFC Championship Game by Minnesota, including total yards (475-257) and time of possession (36:49-27:56). The Saints squeaked by the Vikings, 31-28 in overtime, to advance to the Super Bowl for the first time in franchise history.

Along with Manning, Super Bowl XLIV also features the runner-up in the NFL MVP race, New Orleans quarterback Drew Brees, who finished the regular season with 34 touchdowns and has added six more in two postseason victories. There are few differences between the two signal-callers, other than Manning’s overwhelming postseason experience. The Colts quarterback is now 3-2 in AFC title games (9-8 overall) and looks to win his second Super Bowl title in the last four seasons.

Regardless of who’s in the huddle, the two quarterbacks never lack confidence in flinging the ball around. Against the Jets, Manning’s top targets, Reggie Wayne and Dallas Clark, who each had at least 100 catches and 1,000 yards receiving during the regular season, combined for seven grabs and 90 yards. So, he turned to second-year wideout Pierre Garcon (11 catches, 151 yards, one touchdown) and rookie Austin Collie (7, 123, 1). Brees spread the ball around to eight different receivers, three of whom scored in the NFC title game.

The overall series between the teams is tied at 5-5, but the Colts have won the last two meetings, the most recent a 41-10 blowout in 2007.

Head over to Sportsbook.com now for all of your Super Bowl XLIV action. Be sure and monitor the Betting Trends page to see who the public in betting on. There is no better way to predict a potential line change than by monitoring who the public is backing.

Colts-Jets Picks & Prediction for 2010 AFC Championship See Expe
Vikings-Saints Picks & Prediction for 2010 NFC Championship See Expe
Steelers and Patriots favored to win AFC in 2009-2010 Most footb

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Colts-Jets Picks & Prediction for 2010 AFC Championship

Trev Rogers — Thu, 21 Jan 2010 00:00:37 +0000

See Expert Colts vs. Jets Picks - Jets-Colts Public Bet %

(This is a guest post by TrevRogers.com reader Ryan Knox. Want to submit an article? Send to trev@trevrogers.com)

The 2010 AFC Championship game features the New York Jets against the Indianapolis Colts. The line currently has the Colts favored by 7.5 with the total points at 39. I strongly believe that the sooner we can play this game, the sooner we can all stop hearing new Rex Ryan sound bytes and over-blown media stories about Indy’s shot at redemption for a week 16 defeat. The question for the sports bettor is simple, can the Jets run the ball effectively enough to control the clock and keep pressure off Mark Sanchez? Also, is the New York Jets defense good enough to stop Peyton Manning?

Mark Sanchez is just not capable of winning games with his arm. If at any point during this game the Jets trail by two or more scores, this game is over. The Jets will lean heavily on their league leading running game which averaged 172.3 yards per game. Shonn Greene has been the feature back in the post season with 234 yards, averaging 6.4 and 5.6 yards per carry in the first two games. Then we have Thomas Jones who rushed for over 1400 yards during the regular season. It is without question a formidable duo especially when the Indianapolis rushing defense is ranked 24th in the league, surrendering 126.5 yards per game.

Defensively, the Jets are playing amazing football, ranked #1 in overall defense, allowing a league low 258.3 yards per game. They finished 7th in rushing yards allowed at just over a 100 per game and 1st in passing defense, giving up only 157.8 yards per game. In addition, they gave up the fewest passing touchdowns, first downs, and yards per attempt. To top it all off, they gave up the fewest points per game, 14.7. Again, all very suffocating and dominating in any number of ways, but the Colts still have a Peyton Manning lead offense that teams have yet to contain. Despite the defensive numbers, the Jets will not be that exception.

Listing off Peyton Manning’s accolades and accomplishments is almost useless at this point; this year’s MVP is proof enough with his 33 touchdowns and 4500 yards passing. The Colts passing offense was every bit as good as the Jets defense, ranking in the top 6 in almost every significant passing category. In addition and in typical Manning fashion, he was sacked the fewest times in the league, averaging less than 1 per game at .8 this season. Rex Ryan will probably counter with a number of exotic blitz packages, in an attempt to “confuse” Manning and his 118.5 QB rating against the blitz. Manning, unlike any other quarterback has that innate ability to win games solely on his own. Week 2, at Landshark Stadium, Manning single handedly beat Miami while only having the ball for a combined 14:53, the lowest amount of time for a team to win since 1977. Passing for 2 touchdowns and leading his team to a go ahead touchdown, Manning becomes the exception to many rules.

In Week 16 these teams played, giving us a preview of what to expect…kinda. The Colts gift wrapped a victory when they pulled their starters after 2.5 quarters. However, we can take away much from the game. First, the Colts were leading 16-10 at the time they pulled their starters. Second, the Jets only touchdown was by way of a 106 yard kickoff return by Brad Smith. Third, neither Greene nor Jones was particularly effective until after the Colts starters were benched. Lastly, Manning’s line for the game, 14-21, 192 yards, 0 touchdowns, 0 interceptions, 0 sacks, and 16 points. Proving yet again, that despite how good the Jets may be, Manning and the Indianapolis offense remain better.

The line currently sits at Indianapolis -7.5 points. This season the Colts are 11-5-1 ATS and 4-4-1 at home ATS. The Jets are 11-7 ATS and 6-3 on the road ATS.

Indianapolis Colts ATS trends:

Indianapolis is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games

Indianapolis is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games when playing NY Jets

Indianapolis is 3-6 ATS in their last 9 games when playing at home against NY Jets

New York Jets ATS trends:

NY Jets are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games

NY Jets are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games on the road

NY Jets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games when playing Indianapolis

NY Jets are 6-3 ATS in their last 9 games when playing on the road against Indianapolis

The total points for the game are sitting at 39. The Colts are 9-8 overall and 4-5 at home O/U. The Jets are 8-9-1 overall and 4-5 on the road O/U.

Indianapolis Colts O/U trends:

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indianapolis’s last 5 games

The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indianapolis’s last 6 games when playing NY Jets

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indianapolis’s last 6 games when playing at home against NY Jets

New York Jets O/U trends:

The total has gone OVER in 5 of the NY Jets last 6 games when playing Indianapolis

The total has gone OVER in 4 of the NY Jets last 6 games when playing on the road against Indianapolis

Jets-Colts AFC Championship Prediction:

I’m bucking the head-to-head trends because I don’t care too much for what teams have done in the past. Manning and the Indianapolis offense will be too much for the Jets defense over 4 quarters. The Jets will need to find ways to score and move the ball outside of their running backs and since Sanchez cannot provide that spark, they lose. It really is very simple. For the points, play the UNDER for this game. The Jets do have a number 1 rated defense combined with a Colts offense that seems to manage just enough points to win and not much more, should make this an easy UNDER bet.

Vikings-Saints Picks & Prediction for 2010 NFC Championship See Expe
Super Bowl Picks: Colts-Saints Vegas Handicapper Predictions See Our Ex
Steelers and Patriots favored to win AFC in 2009-2010 Most footb

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Vikings-Saints Picks & Prediction for 2010 NFC Championship

Trev Rogers — Tue, 19 Jan 2010 01:20:08 +0000

See Expert Vikings vs. Saints Picks - Vikings-Saints Public Bet %

(This is a guest post by TrevRogers.com reader Ryan Knox. Want to submit an article? Send to trev@trevrogers.com)

The 2010 NFC Championship Game will feature the Minnesota Vikings traveling to the Superdome to play the number 1 seed New Orleans Saints as 4.5 point underdogs. The over-under total points for the game are listed at 52.5. Both teams will meet coming off of blowout victories in the divisional round of the NFL Playoffs. On Saturday, New Orleans routed the Arizona Cardinals 45-14. The Saints had over 400 yards in total offense, dominated the time of possession, and made life for Kurt Warner vey difficult for about 3 hours. Minnesota was equally impressive in their 34-3 victory against Dallas. Sure, Romo did about everything possible to give Minnesota the victory with 3 fumbles, 2 of which were lost, and 1 interception, but still, Farve looked much closer to 30 than 40 with his 4 touchdowns and their defensive front putting pressure on Romo all game with 6 sacks.

As any compulsive gambler can do, we all over analyze games. It seems like everybody has a system involving highly complex algorithms and mathematical formulas to analyze games and convince themselves that they have a better than 60% chance of winning this game. The NFC championship game will be no different for all the gamblers out there looking for that edge. This week, we have done the work and put in the man hours for you, all in hopes of finding that “edge” for our readers. Folks, this game really is very simple, Minnesota is bad on the road and New Orleans is as good as any team in the league when they are playing at home. Yep, home-road splits will tell anybody all there is to know about these two teams.

The 12-4 Minnesota Vikings were without question the 2nd best team in the NFC…when playing at home. Their 8-0 record in the Metrodome is a testament to what type of team they can be with the crowd behind them. On the road, this is not the 2nd best team in the conference. They resemble a team that is indicative of their 4-4 record, very average. On the road the Vikings have lost 4 of their last 5 road games including their last 3 in the regular season to the Bears, Panthers, and Cardinals; not exactly murderers row. As a team, Minnesota scores 5 points less, averaging 26 points per game and gives up 5 more points a game, 23.5 points per game on the road. The rushing offense, lead by Adrian Peterson who remains without a 100 yard game since week 10 of the regular season, drops nearly 30 yards a game, going from 130.6 to 106.5 rushing yards. The defensive line, which served them well against Dallas with 6 sacks, also suffers a steep decline in production on the road. Averaging 3.4 sacks at home, the Vikings still manage to pressure the quarterback, but they average just over 2.5 sacks per game. As expected, most teams play worse on the road and Minnesota is no exception.

Much of the Vikings poor road play can be attributed to their quarterback, Brett Farve. There is no denying, even to the Farve haters, that Brett had an MVP like season. However, looking at our home-road splits, 5 of Brett’s 7 interceptions came on the road and only 12 of his 33 touchdown passes came away from the Metrodome. In addition, the road crowd seemed to bother both Brett and the offensive line. At home, Favre was only sacked 11 times. On the road, that number jumps to 23 sacks with Farve looking every bit his age at times. I certainly do not lay it all on his shoulders, but this team will go only as far as his arm can take them.

New Orleans is easily the most potent and explosive offensive in the league, averaging 33 points at home and gaining more than 423 yards per game. Drew Brees anchors the offense with a home quarterback rating of over 120 with 20 touchdowns to only 4 interceptions. The running trio of Bush, Bell, and Thomas average more than 4.5 yards a carry at home this season. Minnesota will counter with a 2nd ranked rushing offense, but I am not sure any defense could have contained Reggie Bush and his 5 carry, 84 yard performance against Arizona. Looking at the defense, the Saints remain very average. However, an average defense, combined with the best offense in the league still makes it very difficult for opposing teams. This game could very well be a track meet, the problem is that the Vikings just do not have the horses to stay with New Orleans for 4 full quarters and they simply are not good enough defensively to slow them down.

The line currently has New Orleans as 4.5 point favorites where they are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10 points. This season, the Saints are 9-8 ATS and 5-4 at home ATS. The Saints are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game. The Saints are also 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games versus a team with a winning road record.

The Vikings are 10-6-1 overall ATS and 4-4 ATS on the road. Minnesota is 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games on field-turf. Versus teams with a winning record the Vikings are 4-1 ATS. Against the NFC, the Vikings are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11.

The total points for this game are 52.5. New Orleans is 8-9 O/U overall and 4-5 O/U at home. The O/U is such a crap shoot; take these stats with a huge grain of salt:

• Over is 4-0-1 in Saints last 5 playoff games.

• Under is 7-0 in Saints last 7 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.

• Under is 4-1 in Saints last 5 games overall.

• Under is 4-1 in Saints last 5 games as a home favorite. Over is 4-1 in Saints last 5 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.

Minnesota is 8-9 O/U this season on 4-4 O/U on the road. Based on past trends, it would very much appear that Minnesota would play toward the UNDER this game.

• Under is 5-0 in Vikings last 5 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.

• Under is 5-0-1 in Vikings last 6 playoff games.

• Under is 4-0 in Vikings last 4 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.

• Under is 21-5 in Vikings last 26 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.

2010 Vikings vs. Saints NFC Championship Pick:

On paper, this is what you want, the top 2 teams in the NFC Championship game but in reality, it is not! The Vikings will need a Tony Romo like performance from Drew Brees next Sunday if they have any hopes of staying with New Orleans. At home, New Orleans is just too much for any team this seasons.

The Saints will make this an easy cover. Jump on this spread early before there is any fear of this game reaching 5 to 6 points. New Orleans is just too much for anyone when playing at home. The O/U is always tough, just looking at how well both offenses were clicking this past week, I would be hard pressed to pick the UNDER despite Minnesota’s past O/U trends. Take the OVER but with far less confidence than with New Orleans covering the 4.5 points.

Colts-Jets Picks & Prediction for 2010 AFC Championship See Expe
Super Bowl Picks: Colts-Saints Vegas Handicapper Predictions See Our Ex
Favre Signs with Vikings and Stirs up Odds Brett Fa

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