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“Revenge Factor” Games for Week 2 College Football Picks

September 9, 2010 By Trev Rogers Leave a Comment


********* I am passing Thursday night on both the NFL and College games *********


I currently have 5 early college football winners up now for this week in the Members section. One pick is for Friday night and 4 winners for Saturday action. I will have my NFL winners for week 1 ready Friday at 3pm EST.

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Every Thursday of the college football betting season, I will publish the “Revenge Factor” games for that particular week that may be worth your betting dollar.


Obviously, some “Revenge Factor” situations will be reserved for my Members, but expect to see a few here each week of the college football picks season absolutely FREE.


1. Central Michigan vs. Temple: Temple has double revenge against CMU losing by 10 and 16 points. If Temple wants to win the MAC this season, they must take our CMU Thursday night. (see live odds)


2. Iowa vs. Iowa State: ISU has double revenge and has not scored a TD in 14 straight quarters against Iowa. Iowa does have to travel to Arizona next week. Iowa State may hang around for a back door cover here. (see live odds)


3. Houston vs. UTEP: The line on this game is jumping from 18-20 for a reason. Houston needs to show that they are a step above from last season when UTEP gave them a 58-41 whooping. (see live odds)


4. Nevada vs. Colorado State: CSU is in rebuilding mode this year, but did surprise me last season when they took down Nevada 35-20. Nevada wins by 4 TD’s. (see live odds)


5. LSU vs. Vanderbilt: LSU has won 6 straight over Vandy and 10 of the last 11. I like how Vandy played against Northwestern in week 1 and it is fair to think LSU could have a bit of a let down after last week’s game against UNC. (see live odds)


6. Duke vs. Wake Forest: Duke has lost 10 straight to Wake Forest, but has covered the spread in 3 of the last 4 meetings. Duke’s 9 returning starters on offense could keep this one close. (see live odds)


7. FSU vs. Oklahoma: These teams have only met once, but it was a big game. Oklahoma defeated FSU 13-2 back in 2000 for the National Title. (see live odds)


8. Utah vs. UNLV: UNLV has double revenge working for them since their last win over Utah in 2007. Overall, UNLV is 1-13 versus the Utes and 0-7 when playing in Utah. UNLV hung with Wiscy for a bit in week 1, so it would not shock me to see them get a cover here. (see live odds)


9. UAB vs. SMU: SMU has won 3 straight over UAB dating back to 2005. UAB did cover the spread in 2 of the 3 losses. Last years game came down to the last second, I expect the same this season. (see live odds)


10. ECU vs. Memphis: Memphis has lost 4 straight to ECU dating back to 2005 all by at leas 2 TD’s. East Carolina will look friendly to many bettors this week after their strong performance against Tulsa in week 1. (see live odds)



Filed Under: Trev Rogers Sports Picks

2-0 College Football Sunday ends a 5-2 College Football Picks Weekend

September 6, 2010 By Trev Rogers Leave a Comment



A slow start to my 2010 college football picks season was quickly wiped away after a 2-0 sweep Sunday with SMU +13.5 and SMU/Texas Tech OVER 58. Overall it was a 5-2 weekend for my college football picks.


Saturday Picks:
– Colorado -11 (win)
- Alabama -37.5 (win)
- UNLV +20.5 (win)
- Washington State +17 (loss)
- Fresno St. vs. Cincinnati OVER 56 (loss)


Sunday Picks:
- SMU +13.5 (win)
- SMU vs. Texas Tech Over 58 (win)

My record for the 2010 college football picks season is now 5-4 as I lost my first 2 picks Thursday and Friday night last week.


My combined 2010 Football Picks record for the NFL and College Football is 13-8 YTD.


My Boise State vs. VaTech pick for Monday will be ready at 1pm EST.


Filed Under: Trev Rogers Sports Picks

Free College Football Picks: Oregon State vs. TCU Saturday Night

September 3, 2010 By Trev Rogers Leave a Comment


Seemingly every single year, the Oregon State Beavers take on some of the best mid-major teams in the nation. This year is no exception, as this week’s duel with the TCU Horned Frogs marks the first of two major battles with non BCS conference schools on the slate. Check out three keys for the game that will decide whether TCU takes its first step towards a repeat showing in the BCS or if the Beavers spoil the party.

(See live TCU vs. Oregon State Odds + Betting Bonus)

Oregon State vs. TCU Key #1: Can anyone stop the Rodgers brothers?

When you’re talking about Oregon State football over the last three seasons, you have to start by talking about James and Jacquizz Rodgers. Simply put, these two are unbelievable. Over the last two years, Jacquizz has rushed for 2,697 yards, hauled in 117 passes, and received for 925 more yards to go with his 35 scores. James, over the last three years has 151 receptions, 1,692 receiving yards, 1,173 rushing yards, 151 punt return yards, 1,551 kick return yards, and a grand total of 24 scores. That’s a ton of yardage and a slew of scores. TCU has one of the best defenses in the land, but that doesn’t mean it’s ready to stop this duo.

Oregon State vs. TCU Key #2: Will TCU be able to replace two top notch draft picks?

Gary Patterson has done a fantastic job assembling a top notch defense at TCU, but this past year, he lost out on both Jerry Hughes and Darryl Washington, both of which were Top 50 picks in the NFL Draft. Those two were terrors for the purple and black defense, which ranked #1 in the country in total ‘D’ last year at 239.7 yards per game. If the eight returning starters from this unit can mesh, the Horned Frogs are going to be incredibly dangerous.

Oregon State vs. TCU Key #3: Does Andy Dalton have the ability to be a big time quarterback?

We already know that Dalton is fantastic. He led one of the best offenses in the nation last year and was incredibly efficient both with his arm (2,756 yards, 23 TDs, 8 INTs) and his legs (512 yards, 3 TDs). However, with leading rusher Joseph Turner lost to graduation, Dalton is probably going to be called upon more, especially early in the season, to make things happen with his arm. If the Horned Frogs think they’re winning this game, they had better get some great play from their offensive leader.

( Get Your Free $250 Football Betting Bonus at SportsInteraction.com )

Unless the Rodgers brothers go nuts, the Beavers are going to have a tough time competing in this one. TCU’s defense is still fantastic, but the offense ranked fifth in the nation last year in scoring, something that is often overlooked. Getting to 30 or so will be enough for the Frogs to walk away with a huge victory against a ranked BCS conference foe that could pad the BCS dream. If not, Oregon State can dash TCU’s hopes of playing in a premier bowl game, and that’s a risk that Patterson and company can’t afford to take.


Oregon State vs. TCU Score Prediction: TCU 41 – Oregon State 24


Filed Under: NCAAF Betting News, Trev Rogers Sports Picks, Uncategorized Tagged With: , , , , , , ,

College Football Picks start 0-1, Friday winner is ready

September 3, 2010 By Trev Rogers Leave a Comment


I hate starting the “real” season with a loss, but that is exactly what happened last night as Northern Illinois +5 blew any chance of a cover late in the 4th quarter.


Beside the missed field goal before halftime and first goal at the ISU 2 yard line and only coming away with 3, Northern Illinois was with in reach of a cover at 17-10 in the 4Q. Then the wheels fell off and lost 27-10.


Ok, 0-1 to start the 2010 college football picks season, but Friday night’s Arizona vs. Toledo winner is ready now in the “Members Only” section.


I will also be releasing 2 early winners for Saturday College Football today at 5pm EST.


CLICK HERE to sign up for my weekly or monthly membership.


Filed Under: Trev Rogers Sports Picks

2010 NFL Futures Odds Picks

September 1, 2010 By Trev Rogers Leave a Comment

Please find my 2010 NFL Futures Odds Picks below. All lines used are from BetUs.com as I love to take advantage of their odds offered on NFL teams to make or miss the playoffs.

Also included are my selections for the NFC and AFC teams that I feel provide the best value to represent their conference in the 2011 Super Bowl.

All picks are located below. The video for these picks will be out tomorrow.
[Read more...]

Filed Under: Latest Member Videos, Trev Rogers Sports Picks

2 Under the Radar College Football Teams who may Deserve your Betting Dollar in 2010

August 31, 2010 By Trev Rogers Leave a Comment


1. Connecticut Huskies

The Huskies lost five games in 2009 but the club was just a few plays away from being a top 10 squad. All five of Connecticut’s defeats last season were by four points or less. Still, the Huskies were able to post impressive wins over Notre Dame, South Florida and South Carolina in 2009. Sharp bettors were certainly aware of UConn. The Huskies went 11-2 against the point spread last season. This year, Connecticut could be ready to mount a serious challenge in the Big East.

On offense, junior Jordan Todman leads the attack. He rushed for more than 1,100 yards with 14 scoring runs as a sophomore. The Huskies also have a solid defense. The unit ranked 48th in the country in scoring defense in 2009. Connecticut is viewed as a live underdog for its season opener at Michigan against the Wolverines. The Huskies are just a 3-point underdog against a program that is the winningest in the history of college football.


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2. Kansas State Wildcats

In the late eighties, Bill Snyder took over one of the worst programs in all of college football. In one of the remarkable turnarounds in the sport, Kansas State became a consistent winner. From 1993-2003, the Wildcats won nine or more games on ten different occasions. After retiring from the program following the 2005 campaign, Snyder returned to the sidelines last season. The club posted a 6-6 record (7-4 against the spread) under his direction last year.

The Wildcats should be able to reach a bowl game this time around. Senior running back Daniel Thomas is one of the top runners in the Big 12. He gained over 1,200 yards as a junior. As expected, Snyder brought some physical toughness back to Kansas State. After finishing 39th in the country in total defense last season, the unit should take some more steps in 2010. In a game that should be a defensive battle, the Wildcats are a 2-point home favorite over the UCLA Bruins in the season opener.

Filed Under: NCAAF Betting News, Trev Rogers Sports Picks Tagged With: , , , ,

College Football Over-Under Win Total Picks

August 30, 2010 By Trev Rogers Leave a Comment

These selections have been some of the most sought after football futures betting picks in the industry due to my record below:

2009: 6-2

2008: 7-3

2007: 5-1

2006: 4-3

2005: 3-0

In case you did not add that record up in your head…. it is 25-9 since 2005 when projecting college football teams over-under win totals.

[Read more...]

Filed Under: Latest Member Videos, Trev Rogers Sports Picks

NFL Betting: The Pros and Cons of Betting Against the Public

August 30, 2010 By Trev Rogers Leave a Comment

Each season, there is plenty of hype about public betting in the NFL. While other major sports are generally driven by professional bettors, there is a mix of wagering among the public and sharp players for the NFL. During the NFL season, it is fairly common to hear about how hot the public is on a particular team for an upcoming game. It is important to understand how this concept works throughout an NFL season.

The pros of going against the public

Generally, the public will back the favorite in an NFL game. The public is also more likely to support a marquee NFL franchise that has a tremendous national following. The Dallas Cowboys and Pittsburgh Steelers are a couple of teams that would fit this example. In these kind of instances, the oddsmaker may shade the odds a point or two to anticipate the public money that will come in for a certain side. In other words, there is an element of the betting public that is going to bet a certain way regardless of the line.

The savvy bettor can take advantage of these circumstances. The odds that are inflated for a favorite or public team can enable the sharp player to find some underdogs that have some real value over the course of the season. Many public bettors are conditioned to back the favorite on almost all occasions. Favorites to win the majority of the time. However, favorites only cover the point spread about half the time. The 2009 Super Bowl champion New Orleans Saints are a good example of how the public can get carried away by backing a good team. The Saints won and covered the first six games of last season. Obviously, the public sentiment for New Orleans grew each week. After the 6-0 start, the Saints won seven more games in a row. However, the club was just 2-5 against the point spread during this stretch. The public kept focusing on the winning streak without spotting some inflated lines.



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The cons of going against the public

Many professional bettors will be wary of the side that the public is betting. The sharp bettors feel that the public isn’t properly handicapping a game. Most serious bettors will break down a game without any bias towards the underdog or favorite. While the sharp player may not feel right about backing the public side in an NFL game, there are times when the public riding a favorite and a pro bettor are going to be on the same side. In some instances, an underdog is too weak to be able to cover an inflated line for the favorite. As mentioned earlier, favorites and underdogs will cover in the NFL at about the same rate.

The perceived value that the pro bettor sees in the underdog getting points against the inflated public line for the favorite is sometimes a mirage. During its 14-0 run to start last season, the Indianapolis Colts went 10-4 against the point spread. The public successfully rode the Colts in an example of what can happen if a pro bettor automatically dismisses the other side.



Filed Under: NFL Betting News

Five Tips for Betting on College Football Early in the Season

August 29, 2010 By Trev Rogers Leave a Comment

1. Evaluating new quarterbacks

Entering a new college football betting season, it stands to reason that at least a quarter of the FBS (Football Bowl Subdivision) teams are going to begin the year with a new starting quarterback. Some of these new signal-callers will be starting a college game for the first time while others may have played a little bit in the prior year. It is important to get as much information about these new quarterbacks as possible. For example, how did the player perform in the school’s spring game?


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2. Coaching changes

Typically, there will be at least a dozen or so head coaching changes at the FBS level in a typical offseason. Many new coaches are able to make an immediate impact right away. However, some don’t have enough talent in place to work with to make a difference in the first year. While the head coaching changes gain most of the headlines, there are other staff adjustments that can prove to be just as significant. A head coach may stay with his current school while switching offensive and/or defensive coordinators. The new coordinators will usually have different schemes and systems than the previous assistant coaches.


3. Non-conference mismatches

Most BCS conference teams will begin the season with two or three non-conference tilts before getting into conference play. On many occasions, the opening game is against a club that isn’t from a BCS conference. For many of these games, there will be some big point spreads that can range anywhere from 21 to 45 points. Games such as these can be difficult to handicap. The favored BCS team could get out to a big lead and then pull the starters in the second half. In these scenarios, the point spread outcome can be quite unpredictable at times. The bettor needs to be aware of how the BCS teams and its opponents approach these kind of games. Has a BCS team covered these kind of games in recent years?

4. It’s a new season

As teams head into their early season games, the point spreads for these contests are based largely on the prior year. Even after a game or two, oddsmakers can still set a line that can be based a little bit on the previous season. Obviously, teams are going to have a good portion of its roster intact from a prior season. Still, no two teams are going to perform exactly the same from season to season. The bettor needs to realize that the past is just that.


5. Get ahead of the bookmaker

By the middle of the college football season, the various teams throughout the nation will be well known to the bettor and oddsmaker. In other words, there really isn’t much mystery involved to the handicapping process by the middle of October. In the early season, there is a feeling out process. The bookmaker will be way off on several teams and lines in the first few weeks of the season. The bettor has an opportunity to spot these instances before the oddsmaker is able to catch up later in the season.

Filed Under: NCAAF Betting News

2010 NFL Picks fall to 7-2 after KC Chiefs +2.5 kill us Friday night

August 28, 2010 By Trev Rogers Leave a Comment

I won’t lie to you, I went to bed. I thought that win was in the bag with the Chiefs up 17-13 with 2 minutes left in the game. I do not care if it is the preseason…. that was a tough loss!



Ok, onto Saturday NFL Picks. I am traveling today, so expect picks for tonight to be up around 4pm(est).


Only 2 sports remain open for my EARLY BIRD SAVINGS PROGRAM

Filed Under: Trev Rogers Sports Picks
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